BTRWx

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Posts posted by BTRWx

  3. Posted

    6 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

    Euro goes roughly 91/95/97/93 and then has precip Sun/Mon middays.

    GFS is 95/96/97/97/101

    NAM is 96/95/90/mid-90s

    I think one of the reasons the heat has "busted" is simply that the GFS has been over-advertising it.  That's not to say that the Euro didn't do the same this week, but at least it was still 7-8 days out when it started throwing around 100s. 

    Ensemble 850s seem to me to also have been over-exaggerating waa for our region.

  4. Posted

    18 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

     

     

    These posts are going to win the thread.

    I'm pretty excited about the upcoming winter provided we can stay close to neutral.

    I'm with you on everything except "I'm excited about the upcoming winter" and I'm leaning weak nino. 

    eta: Thanks for the mention!

  6. Posted

    10 minutes ago, yoda said:

    Ack... ML Lapse Rates are 7.0-7.5 C/KM at noon per SPC meso... wish we had more shear and we'd be talking about some large hailers

    NE D.C. has their own popcorn convective cell!

    LWX.N0_Q.20170717.1628_ne_dc.gif

  9. Posted

    2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

    And now it gets really boring.  And DCA blew a shot at a nice 90s streak with an 89 yesterday.

    If it's going to be boring, this is the time of year to get it over with!

  11. Posted

    On 7/9/2017 at 8:27 PM, BTRWx said:

    I think even 1 more step back from that when considering where we are currently and when the last time the same value was reached while having a downtrend.  I really jumped the gun.

    You're welcome!

    June_15_to_July_14_2017_500mb_anomaly.gi

    June_15_to_July_14_2006_500mb_anomaly.gi

    • Like 1

  12. Posted

    6 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

    A nice cool 60 this morning after a high of 83 yesterday.  

    I'm really rooting for a 6Z Gfs type pattern the next couple weeks. It has us teetering on a boundary with disturbance after disturbance rolling thru our region with plenty of rain chances .

    gfs_apcpn_us_40.png

    It was a very pleasant and comfortable morning!

    • Like 1

  15. Posted

    4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

    Can't believe I missed the water spout. I was fishing on the bay about 2 miles due east of rock hall. The shower got us for about 15 minutes but I never saw the water spout. We were probably on 3 miles or so north of where it was. I got the tornado warning on my phone and laughed at it. It was a harmless shower with no CG. Not even breezy on the water. Maybe 15 knots tops for a short time. 

    Are you crazy?!

  22. Posted

    1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    It was the only time we used air conditioning growing up in the row houses of Philadelphia.  My parents hated air conditioning for some reason so to have them get a window unit left a distinct impression in my memory.

    On that thought, I wonder if it stormed that day?...