
BTRWx
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Posts posted by BTRWx
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4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:Over 2" already near Fairfax Inova.
That's amazing! I'm 7 miles from there and have not had a drop.
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Since this past winter was a near dud, GOES-R's first big Nor'easter images may be shot in the heart of summer!
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48 minutes ago, mranger48 said:Nvm here's the expanded view courtesy of Ryan Maue on twitter:
Max wind ecmwf
Rain
Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkMaue has become too Bastardi-like. Man, I used to love those guys.
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50 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:Thanks for sharing! I this a podcast? It would be nice to have those liked during big events like this. FYI, I peek in every now and then for big events so I'm not always aware of how to get to some of these media.
He does selective video posts leading up to big events and sometimes other weekly ones. https://www.vencoreweather.com/videos
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2016-2017 has been feeling like a mix all the wx over the last 20 years!
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6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:Yea they're showing a decent moderate 3" - 5" event, as in smaller and even moderate sized rivers would rise solidly with this. You typically don't see the larger main stem rivers respond significantly until you get 6" across most of their basin (IE: Potomac). This'll be a fun little thing to track...maybe we'll get another bump up on the numbers today.
Below the lwx hydro discussion, the tidal technicalities
hint at1' anomalies along the eastern shore!eta: Those are the values before the rain. Wow!
https://s11.postimg.org/4c8l4w8pv/Noreaster_threat_late_July_2017_lwx_afd_hydro_ti.jpg
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3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:Last year there was an event where the EURO spit out like 12" lollies 6 hours out and it flat out busted. I think we had a decently sized MOD risk that day with a small HIGH near I-81 for terrain enhancements. I don't think anyone got over 2" of rain with that event. That's about as far back as I can remember.
Most models show high qpf now, right?
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1 minute ago, yoda said:its heavy rain and not severe weather
I vote storm thread!
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1 minute ago, yoda said:Posted in the July Obs Thread a page ago...
Thanks for that. Why is that discussion in obs exactly??
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8 hours ago, Kmlwx said:I would agree. I don't see any guidance that looks particularly robust with regards to a severe threat. Even the heavy rain threat seems a bit north on latest guidance IMO.
Check with the King...anyone have ec qpf output?
https://s4.postimg.org/oh6z3s4ot/ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_4_July_Noreaster.png
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Don't give up on the weak nino idea just yet! The daily SOI is back in negative territory (first column). https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/
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I got soaked today and I enjoyed every minute of it!
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Bonus cells!
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21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:Yep! Enjoying a view out the window. Today's storms were really weak on lightning.
That's not these over the last hour! Best summer show since 2012 imby!
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This may actually be a small microburst...
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Nice +TS activity right over me!
eta: Do the metar +/- indicate moderate/light?
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I have rain!
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1 minute ago, Disc said:Really nice gusts here in Alexandria. No rain yet, though.
It's not exactly the usual D.C. split, but the same areas just to the south are getting shafted again. lol
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A gust front just rolled over mby.
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The District is about to get smoked!
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23 hours ago, yoda said:Well if more people would say something... like mattie g did in the banter thread and then I linked him to where he could learn more about that Skew-T's... I mean most should know about the sup composite maps... not trying to toss you under the bus mappy, but no one really comes out and says explain this or I don't understand this so I (and I would assume others as well) just post images and go
You were saying...
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26 minutes ago, yoda said:True, but it seems like LWX is trying to say its our area lol
I noticed the afd text you shared was from last night. They updated the wording.
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3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:What language is this in?
English and abstract art in Paint
End of July Super Soaker
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
Assuming they get to dca. lol