Jaguars
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Posts posted by Jaguars
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Have noticed that western ridge consistently deteriorate on the models. Has not helped downstream. Thanks La Nina. What a horrifically lame winter.
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How quickly everyone forgets that the Euro has been an unmitigated disaster this year
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The UKMET did cutback some. Those 10:1 snow maps people insist on continuing to use are going to be laughably inaccurate and so overdone it’s not going to be funny. Ratios are going to be 5:1, maybe 7:1 if you’re lucky. I’m riding the RGEM/CMC/GFS like Sea Biscuit. The NAM (12k, 3k) is going to cutback 85% of what it just showed by tomorrow morning, that run was Lmfaoooo worthy, pure comedy. I think the Euro caves in the next couple of runs with that bogus juiced up inverted trough it was showing, which IMO isn’t happening. As far as the ICON, it already cutback from what it was showing last night and it’s resolution isn’t the best. This storm hasn’t changed since Friday. Like I said before and these latest runs haven’t changed my mind. This is an I-84 north major snowstorm with minimal accumulations south of there
Thanks Deb, great work.
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Snowman is knowledgeable (more than most including myself) but almost always harps on the least snowy solution. It's served him well in this garbage of a winter but I recall several instances over the years where he was proven wrong.
It’s like the Wall St permabear always calling for the imminent crash. Yes they’ll eventually be right, but what’s the opportunity cost in between? I guess it’s fun carrying an umbrella when it’s sunny just to “be right” a week later.
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He's militantly anti snow a lot here for some reason. It's quite predictable.
Right. That was my hunch, seems a bit miserable and eager to spread it.
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So NAM/Euro/Ukie/HRRR/CMC vs GFS. I’m liking our chances.
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The Euro is going to be dead wrong IMO. That inverted trough feature is BS
You seem pretty militant about it. Maybe it’s time for a drink.
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Yup. Wayyyyy out to sea. Southern stream racing out ahead. No phase. Forky mentioned yesterday he wouldn't be shocked if went out to sea
Would be our luck in a winter of dreadful inland runners and cutters to have the final bullet be from an OTS
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Swing and a miss
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NAM looks like
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For me, the final 0z model runs to lock this track in. NAM up first.
Agreed. If we’re going the wrong direction on this run suite it’s fat lady time.
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Could really use that western ridge to be stronger
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Trends are our friends. If Euro holds serve coming up that will certainly be a positive sign that this one is the real deal.
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GFS FTW BABY!
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EPS ensembles:
I think you’d sign on the dotted line for 4 inches right now at CPK if you were a betting man
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18z gfs sucked for me not surprised
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Measured about 2 inches in the backyard in Larchmont. Looks beautiful but kind of surprised it wasn’t more. Guessing I missed the band two overnight.
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Backyard covered in Larchmont
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Ripping in Larchmont. Sticking to pretty much everything. Down to 34
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Radar presentation looks fantastic. I’m impressed.
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Coming down at a good clip now. All snow
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Where are you located? I assume not Jacksonville?
Haha, Larchmont.
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Sleeting now. Lame
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Moderate snow in Larchmont
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March 13-14th Nor'easter Threat
in New York City Metro
Posted
Snowing pretty hard in Soho. Not sticking obviously
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