NWAflizzard

14 minutes ago, The Waterboy said:

Well, it seems that apathy and numbness are setting in with most of us, me included.
Does anyone have a good pregame speech to rally the team??? 

Man. I really want to be inspiring at this point. But after the last 24 hours of model mayhem I’ve become comfortably numb. But I will say this, I think this is a really complex system that has caused the models a lot of trouble and we have the benefit of high ratios. I think we will get a nice snow to look at just not the big storm we were expecting from a few days ago. Go team! 

GFS needs to quit playing games with my heart. It can’t cave to the Euro like that then come back and give me hope. 

1 minute ago, Will (little rock) said:

What a difference one run makes lol

Yep. Looks a lot like its 18z run yesterday. Even has that second little system that swings through after the main wave. 

3 minutes ago, ouamber said:

Gosh, GFS, Icon, and Canadian look nothing alike for the Sunday/Monday storm! 

To me the GFS appeared to take a step toward the Euro’s 12z run. Who knows what the Canadian was thinking. I guess it wanted to shut down central Arkansas for a couple of weeks. 

17 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

Big fan GFS, big fan.

 

Need a slight northwest trend from his friend from Canada. Either way I’m not complaining. GEM totals are crazy when you think about the possibility of 20:1 ratios. 

That is some cold air that snow will be falling into on Monday morning according to the 18z GFS. 

8 minutes ago, JoMo said:

I remember those days. The sleepless nights because the next model run is just a few hours away. The excitement and anticipation and the buildup of the run, and then the agony of defeat when the model showed the storm going to the north, but wait....... the next model run is just a few hours away, and it'll be different this time..........

It’s so nice to know other people go through this. Most people just don’t understand weather model addiction. The worst part is when someone wants to make small talk about the weather and I want to do a frame by frame breakdown of why everything they just said was completely incorrect. 

12z GFS for the win on Friday for nwa. My goodness!

I would say about an inch here just north of Pea Ridge. I think Fayetteville was the big winner with this. Heard 49 south of Fayetteville is a mess. 

The GFS has storm after storm coming through our area. Canadian doesn’t look bad either. Looks like an exciting next couple of weeks. 

Well the 00z GFS at hour 162 is certainly something. 

36 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

Attention turns to January 9th-11th, looks like a consensus on cold air, now if we could just lock in the GFS at 2 weeks out that would be great, HAH.

I just checked the GFS after reading your post. Yeah. I say we lock that storm in. Gives me a little over 2 feet of snow. I could use a few weeks off work. 

00z GEM with something similar at that time as well.

18z GFS for the win especially over northern Arkansas and southern Missouri  for the March 3 system. 

6 minutes ago, Ozarkwx said:

Last night came through for Eureka Springs (6-10"), heavier to our south.  The roads cleared right up, but yikes the power outages.  Spending the night out of the home due to continuing power outage.

Meanwhile this for mid next week, maybe.....

Sorry to hear about your power. Safe to say that if the euro verifies for next week there may be more power issues. I love winter weather but I am not sure I want an ice storm. 

Haha. My bad stormdragonwx. Also thought that this chart was interesting. Not often you see a greater than 50 percent probability for greater than 8 inches of snow for our area. 

Winter storm warning issued for North west Arkansas and Tulsa was added to the winter storm watch. 

5 hours ago, westhope84 said:

Just lost power in midtown Tulsa. Yikes!

Is your power still out?

I could be wrong but I don’t think I have ever seen Tulsa issue a snow squall warning before. Shows just how strong this system is. 

Cold front has moved through here in NW Arkansas. Temperature falling quickly. 

Winter weather advisory issued for Northwest Arkansas. Our forecast calls for 1-3 inches. The advisory says that near blizzard like conditions will briefly be possible behind the front:
 

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Near blizzard like conditions will
  briefly be possible behind the front with greatly reduced
  visibilities.

Snow totals appear to have ticked up on the Canadian.

29 minutes ago, MUWX said:

I’ll never forget a couple years back when we were under a winter storm warning and it still completely busted. 

I remember that too. And I think it was like the next model run right after they issued the wsw that showed all was not going to plan. 

Lock it in:

15 minutes ago, The Ole Bucket said:

Well that run delivers a White Christmas for like 3/4 of this subforum... and measurable snow on Christmas Eve for central MS and AL.

Now we just need to amp it up.

My former comrades in the Mid-Atlantic sub are going wild

Yeah. Nice GFS run compared to this morning. Canadian had a snowier solution too. Need to check the ensembles and see if they are looking more promising. Thanks stormdragon for that link. White Christmas would be great.