Jeff Grann
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Posts posted by Jeff Grann
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Just now, MJO812 said:
I have been to Lake George and its beautiful. I want to move to a place with alot of snow.
You said it was boring there. The Northern end of Lake George gets around 100" a year. My beef is it being boring there. There is a ton of stuff in a short drive from there including civilization with lots of shopping and good restaurants
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13 hours ago, MJO812 said:
Caribou
Oswego
Worcester
Lake George with all its surroundings, water sports, skiing, hiking, snowmobile trails for hundreds of miles into the Adirondacks along with lots of restaurants, indoor Waterpark and amusement park is boring? Then you put down Caribou and Oswego as your places? You are an EDP. I lived in Queensbury (Lake George) for 6 years and grew up in Brooklyn and Staten Island... The city was a much more boring place to grow up on a day to day basis then what my kids had to do up in Lake George
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2 hours ago, HeadInTheClouds said:
It's been above normal for the month so far mainly because of nighttime lows. Highs in mid 30's is not "mild". I don't care what time of year it is.
Yes. A lot of cloudy nights.
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2 hours ago, NEG NAO said:
its January 9th and we are still above average this season - no one here has a clue how much total snowfall we will end up with this season...........we still have 3 months of potential remaining
Not saying we will wind up below normal. Again, it's about people bitching "I don't want to put up with another below average season" while looking at recent years where NYC has had mostly above average snow totals (including 1 year of nearly 3 times historical norms) and bitch like we are being cheated if we have a couple of skunk years. It makes zero sense... Almost st as bad as Coastal posters complaining that they didn't get accumulating snow in October when their normal high temp was 57 or so. Childish brooding is all it is
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5 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:
I’m no expert
literally just a snow weenie with an interest in winter weather
but perhaps the models are having trouble with the upcoming pattern since the vortex is supposed to split or whatever, I don’t think they have any idea what storms will occur yet. Have to wait until the pattern takes hold?
I will be annoyed if we have another winter with below average snow though
When you came out of a decade where almost all the years were above average to much above average snowfall, what exactly do you expect to happen to reestablish the average?
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17 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:
I take it back there’s no cold air in place. I don’t think it’ll snow in New York City maybe some white taint like everyone else said.
You are on the road to recovery from SAD (Snow Addiction Disorder)
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1 hour ago, HVSnowLover said:
Yea that’s why I’m going by overall feeling based on past storms as opposed to models. Every storm like this is junk for anyone near the coast. Near the coast it needs to be below freezing at the start of the storm or need heavy rates to overcome garbage boundary. This storm won’t have either.
The track of this storm is fine for the city. The airmass isn't. It's not a big deepener which manufactures it's own cold air thus it's slop down there. There is a reason the city averages less than 30" a year. Any decent Coastal is threading a needle between too tucked in and getting fringed. We have a bit more advantage in the interior with elevation (topography enhancement) and not being next to a warm ocean
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2 hours ago, JoshSnow said:
Climo? Lmao this is a 1-3 event for the city. The time to stick even during the day is now it’s January! Watch it over perform! Low is offshore this is a snow event for the city and west
Yes like the last one when the storm was shown inland SNJ, the mix line was going to stay South of the city when in reality it made it past Kingston. You need to accept reality or this is not the hobby for you.
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Looks like we dry slot up here in Orange shortly.
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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:
exhibit A is January in the 1980s, lots of Arctic air and very little snow. I like milder Januarys and snow a lot better.
Yes. Many don't understand its better to have a milder, stormy pattern in January. Yeah you will get skunked especially along the coast but you have a chance for a well timed blockbuster storm that would've been surpressed or never happened at all if the East was overwhelmed with cold dry air at the coldest time of the year
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2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:
Arctic cold usually equals dry.
You don't want that if you want snow.
Especially in January.
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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:
actually two of the very best occurred in the 70s and 80s.....Feb 1978 and Feb 1983. I recently found out that my second home in the Poconos got 30" in Feb 1978 and also over 2 feet in Feb 1983, that's pretty amazing considering that my first home on Long Island also got over 2 feet from the same storms! There's a select list of only a few storms that have dropped two feet plus in both locations; Jan 1996, Feb 2003 and Jan 2016 are also on that list.
Yes but there were many skunk years also
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39 minutes ago, jfklganyc said:
We just had that last week. When Central Park has 10 inches, the Catskills have 2 feet, and Binghamton needs a yard stick, that is as good as a region-wide crushing gets.
He obviously didn't live through the 70s and 80s when this was normal storm wise here
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35 minutes ago, weathafella said:
With good lighting and good roads!
That's not the same Rt. 17. The one you are referring to is a County road that runs N/S parallel to the NYS Thruway from the NJ border to Harriman. There, the highway portion of Rt 17 (now becoming Interstate 86) which runs E/W begins and goes all the way out through the Southern tier of NY towards Lake Erie. I actually live in Cornwall.
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5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:
I can just picture it: Ant's fully nude in the black and white, with the lights on for no reason, doing donuts in the parking lot with the windows down catching snowflakes on his tongue.
Back in the 90s as head of my Precincts Community Policing unit, I'd leave my desk and go walk up the Brooklyn Bridge walkway and sit on a bench in the middle of the East River to watch both snowstorms and thunderstorms come into the city. I'd sit in the snow until my toes got numb then walk back to work. It's the only job where just being there in a uniform I'd doing your job.
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2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:
When have you ever seen a low hug the coast that far North that resulted in a "brief period of sleet"? As depicted, warm air in the mid levels would fly North way before that frame. Better chance of an ice storm there with the stronger high than snow
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3 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:
NAM is a big hit for the city
It comes inland over SNJ at 1am...You really think that is good for NYC? If so I have a bridge to sell you. LOL
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1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:
It has happened; in December. I've seen it. Just need the right set up. This doesn't appear to be it.
Yes. It has happen and can still happen. But everything has to be perfect this time of year for NYC /coast to get these types of snows. There really is a tight window on December 15th from being fringed and having mixing/changeover. Once you have most models tucking a low along the NJ coast, for people to still disregard the low placement because of clown maps is just pages of teenage wishcasting. Can everything shift SE in next 24 hrs and give the city a big dump? Sure. But until that happens, sticking to the reality instead of begging for the extreme in one's backyard makes the forum much more interesting... Like the New England forum.
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28 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:
Upstate people always stealing my snow not fair
Coastal people thinking they are set up for half their yearly normal in Dec when the water is warm and the storm is sitting just off LBI because a GFS clown map says so....
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41 minutes ago, lee59 said:
Latest GFS showing a foot for the metro area?
And Santa was spotted by NORAD taking a test run of his sleigh last night.
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9 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:
It looks like New York City is going to get skunked! Wtf man we always get this
Climo. You guys watched days of a tucked in low along the NJ coast and believed clown maps showing 14"?It's December, the water is still warm and in my 56 years of living in NYC and now up a few miles North of West Point, I have learned that anything that rides up the coast farther North than extreme SNJ before heading to the benchmark will almost always flip over to sleet/zr/rain East of I95. You are kidding yourself if you think otherwise. Hell, with some of these tucked models the last 24 hrs I am worried about sleet up here at the height of the storm. There is a reason NYC only averages under 30' a year. More often then not, these blockbusters disappoint at the end. Don't start bitching if you get 2-4' unless a Noreaster that was consistently progged to go from the Delmarva to Nantucket suddenly winds up just off LBI. Reality..
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1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said:
How is dark, cold, gloomy, wet wx optimistic?
It's not months of dry
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40 minutes ago, gravitylover said:
ooh ooh I saw some sun today It was only for a few minutes but it happened.
Fascinating local pattern over here past 3 days. West Point gloomy, socked in with fog and drizzle with the up sloping South wind while at my house 4 miles North, the downsloping wing off a 1200 ft Storm King Mtn caused a sunny to pt cloudy 3 day period. It reminded me at a much smaller scale to what I witnessed climbing Mt Washington.
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Snow-ice-rain for the NYC forum 7PM Mon 1/25-6AM Wednesday 1/27
in New York City Metro
Posted
5-6" in Eastern Orange County in the Hudson Highlands still on 3k.