UniversesBelowNormal

I wonder if the Nino 1+2 stuff is just reflecting of the current warm pattern... and if ENSO will make a reemergence. It looked like we were going El Nino, may still go weak El Nino.

looks like an El Nino is developing for 2020 as per the subsurface..

Climate still not behaving like anything ordinary.. You wouldn't get this extreme wintertime -PNA in this ENSO, unless anomaly (5-10%)

2019 ENSO cancel lol

Subsurface is pretty classic El Nino configuration. the pattern doesn't feel like a Winter- El Nino above +0.5 though. Also colder wave around 160W, -200m may bias short term conditions to more -PNA (vs models)

I'm surprised you all see the same thing..

I was surprised to see the El Nino's resurgence. +PNA from 2013-2017 did not hold in non-El Nino conditions. These are on models for the next 15 days.