Living in the north Memphis metro( and it’s been different than the North MS burbs) the last 2 decades were far better than the 90’s. I’ve noticed an overall uptick in late winter events around here. Feb 28, 2009 (insane ULL), March 7-8, 2008 (near blizzard conditions), March 3 2014 (huge sleet storm that split Memphis in half and brutal cold temps for March), and of course maybe my favorite of the decade- March 4 2015 with an inch of sleet and 4-6 of snow. Keep in mind- none of these years had a significant winter storm in those January’s. (January 2018 was really decent here too.) Pre 2000, I would never have believed that late winter would produce without producing in January- but it appears it’s more likely now. I can’t find any records in this area (until the last 2 decades) that late winter events happened after nothing earlier. Maybe it’s a new precedent in this late phase positive AMO. I think the AMO needs to flip to see where the cards fall. We are nearly 25 years into the positive phase so it’s time is limited.