Deer Whisperer

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Interestingly, 18z 3km NAM likes SOUTH of DC for 2-3"... from CHO to EZF into S MD through 56

Unless I'm looking at the wrong thing, it seems like TT and Pivotal weather have different depictions of the precip shield...

18z NAM isn't a complete miss like 12z

4 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

At least every model gives us snow. Feeling confident that a complete miss is off the table ( famous last words lol. ) There's still time for minor improvements which would lead to a decent event to kick off the week.

Seems like we should be setting expectations at "we should see snow fall," which is perfectly ok. When was the last time anyone actually saw snow for more than an hour?

1 minute ago, high risk said:

The NAM Nest, HRRR, and FV3 and ARW2 HiRes Windows all joined the "narrow line of snow squalls on the arctic front" party for Sunday morning.    Great signal!     Example from the HRRR:

 

 

#winning

2 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

ICON will stay on the GFS team by the early look

Has snow starting Monday afternoon!

4 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

This sounds funky old fashioned but it’s almost like the gears don’t mesh and grind the same way anymore.  That in turn seems to make the 3-5 days not solid anymore and we are down to 1-3 for solid accuracy 

 

Didn't Hoffman (or someone else) recently remark at how good the models have gotten at handling stuff at range? Not saying anyone is right, just an observation 

21 hours ago, Rd9108 said:

I thought it was a scab and started picking at it and luckily it came off. Did you get lymes?

Luckily no, but I did get tested. Guess I just found both of them pretty quickly. Didn't think about how fortunate that was at the time...

57 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

I found a tick on my ball sack back in October. All of those useless parasites can burn or freeze to death.

Happened to me twice in 1 month years ago

First time logging on this winter. What have I missed (besides the obvious complete lack of snow)?

2 hours ago, Solution Man said:

Agree, leave it we should just roll here

Honestly I'm stating to get a bit confused about which wave is when

We need to ban the word "trend" for storms 4+ days out

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

icon at 120 vs gfs at 120

 

These models suck

I come back after a 3 week break to find people throwing in the towel and being upset over an op run at *checks notes* 8 days out? Good lord

Didn't even make it to 2 pages

These kind of winters should be a good lesson in when to use the ignore button

Probably over 1.5" here. Side streets continue to cave after plowing. Looks pretty

Grass caving. Visibility has dropped a decent amount

Edit: sidewalks have caved. Side roads already starting to go as well

Flakes just started in Middletown. Harrisburg people should see them any minute now

Still a virga fest in Middletown. Hopefully not too much longer

Best of luck tomorrow everyone! First snow event up here for me

Few members of the Pennsylvania forum are talking seriously about the RGEM. And I thought we were weenies lol

I read through 30 pages of the last 3 days of long range tracking to find out it ain't gonna snow still. We are sick people