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mattny88

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Everything posted by mattny88

  1. Cnywxfreak thanks..but i thought the wind flow was suppose to be more of a northerly component to even n-ne..wouldnt that favor sodus bay pts west to Roc vs oswego..bwcause we usually get good lake enchanced of mpre of a wnw flow...nne flpw for us doesnt have the whole length of the lake to carry moisture i dont believe as opposed to those parts
  2. Hey wolfie yeah i noticed thst little 20 mile band amd uptick prec. Moisture on the model of that 1.25+ in central oswwgo right in city oswego where i live...why do you think there is a concentrated area just there in specific..is that in part to the sympnotic storm itself or the lake enuamced that follows the storm behind the main moisture
  3. jeremy kappell just put put the current model of the gfs..he says 20+ area wide if gfs verifies..i live up here in oswego guys...early predictions for my lpcation and thoughts on the northward jog in the last few runs...
  4. Thats exactly what i wanted ti hear gentlemen...music to my ears.. now wolfie when you say 6-8" w lollys of a 12+ where is the best chance of them.more localized 12+ bands .ore likely to set up...also cnylesfreak the synoptic slop at the end of the deformation zone, what time frame hour wise are we looking at just to give us a general frame of reference..like.the wee hours of this a.m.? And then a lull and then the lake enhanced action will kick.in this evening..to both you guys..how do you feel about the nws snowmap they out out..you like it or no?
  5. How much snow would you project the city of oswego to receive wolfie and cny lesfreak for the entire duration over these nwxt 2 days..and will the winds be wnw or mpre nnw fir the lake effect pprtion of the storm..? Its pouring out rain now in the city of oswego..waiting for it to change over..how much synoptix snow we looking at ..sorry im all ovwr the place its just im genuinely excited qwre under a winter storm watch and back in the snow conversation haha
  6. wow was this expected? im pleasantly suprised.. i live in the city of oswego and sure enough its starting to snow out lightly at the moment.. Here is a clip from the nws buffalo AFD " The result could be a couple fresh inches of snow for Oswego County. As we proceed into the wee hours of Wednesday morning...the flow will veer back to around 300 deg...and this will push the lake snow showers to the south across northern Cayuga and possibly northeast Wayne counties." wolfie and cnylesfreak what is your thoughts on accumulations overnight within oswego county?? let me know
  7. update..still kinda of that rain/snow mix in the city of oswego...the lake influence really noticed with this storm
  8. how is lower elevations looking like like the city of oswego guys? all these snow amounts tend to have the lakeshore communitites drop off in snow amounts vastly..is this an accurate depection or no?
  9. Will lower elevations near the lake shore transition over to all snow and if so what's the timing for this..will the lake effect winds veer more to a wnw flpw to get central/western oswego cty. Involved in the action?? Any thoughts would be much appreciated guys
  10. How much snow is city of Oswego looking at guys???
  11. How much snow accumulation you see with the southern edge of the band affecting the city of oswego? You think the models will veer more of a wnw component Wolfie?
  12. hey guys i know its early and still a few days out but what are the early projections for the wind flw for this upcoming lake effect efect..do you think the winds can veer for a 290 degree flow for a time so that the city of oswego can get into the lake effect band..im wondering if that band that sets up tuesday will meander around to the south or for the most part will it be confined mainly to the tug on more of a 270 degree flow...let me know your guys thoughts??
  13. how much snow you thinking wolfie for the next lake effect event setting up for us next wk
  14. hey guys...i know the lake effect event is still a few days out..but how is it look preliminarily speaking for the city of oswego..wnw wind flow i would imagine would align well with our location..how much lake effect precipitation are we working with here..would love to know your feedback..i know snow totals are way to early to predict where banding sets up just wanted to get the discussion rolling a little
  15. can you send that precip link into a different format..when i clinked on it wouldnt let me pull it up thanks
  16. you really think we have the potential to reach a foot? the returns i see on radar look like there going due north to slightly north -northeast..im not seeing that se- to nw flow ? yea the models very accurately predicted the location of the banding..very nicely done...oswego county is definitly one of the counties in the sweetspot for this storm
  17. All snow here...how many inches per hour would you say the rate is falling over your way matt
  18. nice still shot of the radar..you and i wolfie are in the band good for the next hour or so..keep bringing up the snow totals
  19. ?? how come in all these nws snowfall maps they have all the outlying lakeshore communitites with blank...that has to be a glitch when drawing up the maps
  20. as of 1:22am nws just said another 4-6 addt'l inches for oswego county with the winter storm warning remaining in effect until 10am:)
  21. yea same here wolfie in oswego its pouring snow...somewhere drawing the snow/sleet line between clay and oswego/altmar is where the upper layers are a tad warmer...like i said all snow here...you think even we will get in on the sleet?
  22. cny-lesfreak!! where do you see the heavier bands within the 6-10inch map setting up shop?? im looking for the localized 10+ and i didnt know if the models were showing a consistency with a certain band showing up
  23. wheres all my cny friends? what you guys thinking for storm totals? im up here in oswego, ny and its all snow up here...snowing at a pretty good clip..a good dusting on the ground as we speak..maybe a 1/2 currently..how about you guys??
  24. Wsyr news channel 9 snowfall map..usually this local TV new station is accurate with their forecast..your guys thoughts on the snow amounts and this snow map
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