scwxguy

Me either, other than maybe windshield wiper effect? It's truly a maddening situation. No one here in Charleston is even paying attention to Dorian, completely written off as a Florida thing. If it takes a Matthew like track it is almost a week away from impacts here it looks like which is good. If it were to landfall here less time. If most of Florida is going to start evacuating tomorrow (that's a ton of people compared to GA/SC!) where would GA/SC people go if it suddenly came here? All those hotels in GA and even here are filled with FL evacuees. We are even planning to house a friend that is in Orlando if necessary. At this point I'm just keeping an eye on it as we all are. Hopefully today adds more clarity not confusion. I expect FL officials will call for the evacuation today as well. They have to, running out of time.

12z Euro has a landfall at 120 hrs/Monday near Ft Lauderdale and Palm Beach Co, then into GOM. This is further south than 00z

Euro is running...

I'm watching the GFS, panel for hour 114 just came out at the time of this post - much more south and looks to be in line with NHC forecast. We'll see what the next ones show for any turn north. Yeah not much other use for the generator for us either, but I view it as cheap insurance against power failures. I have no regrets that I have it. They can happen at any time. Transformers blow up, car crashes into a substation, etc. They've all happened to me. I lived up north prior to this and winter storms were what you had one for to keep your blower motor going on the furnace and the fridge. There were outages near me that were days in sub-freezing cold following ice storms. That's life threatening vs just miserable after a hurricane. I was down in Florida after Charley. Taught me to respect them.

I'd wait until the deadline to ship to get here by Friday and assess then

It's also very easy to move around. Has a handle that flips out and the wheels are good. It is also very compact. Barely takes up any space in my garage. The ones at HD/Lowes are not nearly as nice and more expensive and huge!

I ordered this off Amazon in 2017 ahead of Irma: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00BBDCE1S/ref=ppx_yo_dt_b_asin_title_o01_s01?ie=UTF8&psc=1 I used it last year when the backside of Michael came through and knocked out power for a few hours. It's an inverter so good clean power. Also variable speed so only cycles up to demand. Seems to sip fuel and very quiet. Powered my fridge, portable AC and small electronics without any issues.

Ch 2 this morning is fairly confident that the storm is blocked and sent into Florida: https://www.counton2.com/weather/hurricane-central/dorian-expected-to-become-a-hurricane-by-friday-threat-to-the-united-states-increasing/ Still, I would get on that run early today. Just was in Harris Teeter in Mt Pleasant and they had water in the aisles and at the door. That is going to start making people unaware become aware. Watching the tropics is now on the forecast. If Dorian does indeed track here as the GFS legacy and operational show it is going to go from 0 to panic in a few hours time, and there won't be much time to prep and evac. It all seems dependent on the ridge. Lots of models showing Florida still as does the Euro, but GFS says Charleston. However if I remember correct the GFS doesn't always have a good handle on ridges which is the key factor here. No reason not to be prepared starting today, I am advising my neighbors of the same. We'll know a lot more this evening, but so will everyone else. I track to be ahead of the masses and make pre-emptive decisions.

Yeah, lots of doom forecasting for a very compact, weak storm that has a lot going against it. People assume everything will rapidly intensify to a major hurricane after the last few years. Anything can happen but the current track, interaction with Hispaniola's mountains and dry air don't point to a catastrophic event at this time.

My wife was already asking where our "hurrication" is going to be this year. I said don't plan on it. Certainly has been a lot of close calls last few years and people are beginning to expect it as new normal when it is an aberration.

Me too. Been enough activity over the last few years. Years like this balance the bad ones. It is still early, but the quiet has been good.

Happy Met Spring to all!

I was on Hilton Head Island this past weekend. Tree pollen is out. Assume it will be out here this week in CHS.

If you are seeing issues try getting it down earlier and check the product you are using. I put down Dimension (Dithiopyr) 20% granules from a local landscape supply store - in early February, follow up again in 8-12 weeks and then do the same at Labor Day and in early November. I've followed their advice and had great results. I've been doing it 4 times a year recently but I inherited a mess. I had dandelions, chickweed, henbit, poa annual in the winter and crabgrass and spurges in the summer. Now I have no winter weeds and practically no crab grass and spurges after 18 months of this treatment. Will likely reduce to 2x per year this fall to once in the fall at Labor Day and early Feb now that I have things under control. The grass has filled back in and looks great. I have mostly St Augustine in my front yard and Empire Zoysia in the back. The key is to get the stuff down ahead of the weed seeds germinating. Get a quality product from a local landscape supply center and avoid Scott's and other things at the Big Box stores. It's worth the few extra bucks - really not that much more at all - for a quality product.

Saw that last week of January here in Charleston. Last night I was out at sunset and the frogs were deafening. Also other insects as well chirping away.