Sundog
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Posts
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About Sundog
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There's some serious activity around Baltimore:
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Climate models. They don't predict the weather, so they don't operate the same way as regular weather models.
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This is the derecho version of Feb 5th 2010 for NYC and points North and East
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if this trajectory holds then Central Park and Staten Island will get a nice rain event while eastern Queens gets basically nothing.
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I remember as a little kid in the 90s my school would have a field day at Valley Stream State Park and the trees (oaks I think) would be covered in those hairy caterpillars. I haven't seen them in a very long time. Did they just disappear for awhile?
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I wonder if the rain will hold to NYC
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GEMLAM did the best with this thing compared to the other models, it has it crapping out just as it hits the coast, some rain but nothing crazy. It had this as early as 18z yesterday while other models had lightly scattered stuff:
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This thing was modeled to crap out way west of where it is now so it will be interesting to watch what happens.
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There is some small scattered stuff on the models, mostly north and west of the coast.
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Where was this all winter:
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Do these models show why the drought would shift to the plains? Like what atmospheric changes are shown that shift the drought east? Basically why would a warming world do that is what I'm asking.
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We are not going to have a Florida climate here in your lifetime, or even multiple lifteimes, even if emissions continue unabated.
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The differences between KNYC and Newark are wild in some recent years on those Memorial Day charts. In 2021 for example, Newark was 84 with a low of 66 and Central Park had a high of 70 with a low of 49? That's not possible. And in 2023 Newark was 88/70 and Central Park was 79/59? Something is off.
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Looks like the rain overperformed for a lot of us.
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Same here in eastern NYC, really coming down now.
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