T5403CG

NAM is great for NYC/LI and area.
 
 

It's been over 700 days since SW Suffolk county and most of Long Island has seen more than 2.5" of snow... I honestly thought 3 years was in the making...

Thinking 4-6"... Maybe more if we get lucky... it's been a long time coming...

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58f @11:30am.. in SW Suffolk... Beautiful

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Finally .. very heavy rain in SW Suffolk!!!!

Woohoo

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RN+ in SW Suffolk for 5 minutes... about 20 mins ago...

Easily the heaviest rain since early June...

With the next line approaching we should see .5"+ today... again the most since early June...

The pattern is changing...

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of course we are gunna get shunked here on the rain.  cant make this crap up.

First round looks to clip the usual areas, city, north, west and through the tropical north shore of Long Island...

I pray the main frontal passage hits the desert like southern plains of the Island in need of the liquid gold...



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I dare say SW Suffolk may see its' largest rainfall in almost four months over the next 24-36 hours...

18z NAM looks great... hope the 18z GFS follows suit...

And down the road, it looks like the Hurricane remnants will really help in alleviating the severe drought conditions...

Thank goodness...

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Heavy sprinkles in Brightwaters. Couldn’t make a dent in pudding. 

Yep... Dries up as cells go north...

The beat goes on... another swing and miss...

.01"... Now about 2" or so since 6/20... 3.25" since June 1st...

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Damn. Slept through it. Some puddles though. Did the south shore get anything meaningful? Lol 

My guess is .45"...

We had two rounds of 5-10 minute rains... The second being hardest... actually saw lightening and thunder!

Easily the wettest night since early June!

Up to about 3.25" since June 1st..!

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Only rained heavy for about 10 minutes here on the South Shore of Nassau County but it was the heaviest rain in a couple months.

Same here in SW Suffolk... a real downpour for 5 minutes... Probably approaching .4" for the evening...

By far the wettest day in months...

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1.43" at lga. 0" at jfk

.15" or so in SW Suffolk, much more NW of us..

Perhaps .65" over the last eight days... wettest week since early June... around 3" since June 1st....

Next shot of precip looks to be around the 26th.... That gives us here around 2" for the entire summer... And a continuing severe drought...

nyc has picked up .50 of rain.. since yesterday..

Some nice storms along Long Islands north shore over night... south shore and east... mainly dry... Perhaps .2" here in SW Suffolk...

Another miss...

Incredible...

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Yes it looks like nothing has changed for Long Island, at least at this point. First round of rain, very little here.

Some light rain at best... Maybe somewhere out east gets a downpour

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Our front associated rains usually are best with warm fronts coming in from the SW... looks like some nice showers developing down that way... headed for SW Suffolk...

I dare say... we may see our first heavy down pours since early June...



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Once again... looks like the marine air taking the wind out of the energy off the coast...

Just can't catch a break this year...

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It’s been so dry, my rain gauge packed his bags and left. Said he was “bored”.

Our front associated rains usually are best with warm fronts coming in from the SW... looks like some nice showers developing down that way... headed for SW Suffolk...

I dare say... we may see our first heavy down pours since early June...



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13 drops of rain just fell in brightwaters. A hair below the last event.

We may actually get .5"+ out if this...let's hope it's our turn...

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Haha with these tight gradients you guys are seeing I could only imagine the explosion of emotions it would be if it was so close between 3" and a foot of snow that you could pretty much see it. We would hear the screaming all the way up here 

5 years ago... that same location, only 5 miles NNE of me had 36" of snow, while we had 20"...

The first foot for them was all rain by me...

It really is incredible the difference only a few miles makes from the shore...

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Yep, that same Greenlawn area getting crushed. Crazy that areas to our south have less than 1/4'

What's amazing is, statistically speaking, what we have experienced the last 3 months is incredibly rare...

This likely is a 1 in 100 year event...

We are experiencing weather history...

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Heaviest rain of the day with this stationary band. Radar doesnt do it justice. Dumping now, closing in on 1" 

Daughter in Smithtown, up by the court buildings, just asked when the heavy rain is gonna stop... parking lot is flooding...

I said... just drive south of the LIE and you'll be fine...

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Not nearly enough on south shore. The blob missed us. 
 
not good for this drought 

Between .25" - .3" here in West Islip...

Drought wins this match...

About 2.5" total QPF since June 1st... .8" since June 21st...

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Starting to see some counterclockwise rotation in the precip... but it may be a bit to late and south...

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Best rates for me right now, and it’s only light still. Time to move on. Hopefully the fish storms can generate some swells. Get some bodysurfing in

I know we are in a water emergency... but I will be watering the big trees surrounding my house... Can't afford the cost of one dying and falling or having to take down...

Can't believe it is coming to this...

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Sad, but true. Upton is still very bullish despite the obvious 

Looking at latest models... still spitting out .4 - 1.00"... So who knows...

I may make .5"... It will double my summer total

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Mod to heavy showers regenerating on the north shore again. I think there is some meso low that has been sparking these. For the south shore it’s not looking good unless this regenerating precip does happen. 

At this point... I will be happy if we get .5"...

Honestly, amazing....

Last 48 Hours:

6"+ on Central CT Shore
2.5"+ on LI North Shore (Nas. / W Suff)
.25" on LI South Shore

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About .25" or so in SW Suffolk...

Light rain falling...



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IT's the HRRR but it's wet for most here

I will be amazed if that happens...

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