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Furrawn

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Posts posted by Furrawn

    January 28th/29th Event Obs - From KU to FU?

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    Light tiny snowflakes falling here. 32 degrees in Newtown. 
     

    If anyone feels like an ELI5, why would snowflakes be tiny when it’s 32 degrees?
     

    I thought snowflakes tend to be larger because they tend to be stickier (and thus more likely to attach to other snowflakes) when falling through the air at warmer temps like 32 degrees. 

    • Like 1

    January 28th/29th Event Obs - From KU to FU?

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    58 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

    I am just posting model images for the benefit of this subforum for people to look at since there are those who lurk here who are watching the play by plays and who have expressed a desire to "learn". I have given no weight or "analysis" of which one(s) I think is "correct".  They all constitute "data points", nothing more, nothing less.

    Your every post is very much appreciated. I am one of the lurking learners:) 

    Btw, 29 degrees and light snowfall here in Newtown. 

    E PA/NJ/ DE Winter 2021-22 OBS Thread

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    57 minutes ago, BBasile said: 
    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
313 AM EST Thu Jan 27 2022

DEZ001-002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ012-015>019-021-PAZ070-071-104-
106-272200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0003.220129T0000Z-220130T0000Z/
New Castle-Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Middlesex-
Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Cumberland-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Wilmington, Dover, Chestertown,
Centreville, Easton, Denton, New Brunswick, Trenton, Pennsville,
Glassboro, Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Mount Holly,
Millville, Media, Philadelphia, Norristown, Lansdale,
Morrisville, and Doylestown
313 AM EST Thu Jan 27 2022

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 9
  inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...The eastern shore of Maryland, northern and central
  Delaware, far southeastern Pennsylvania, and much of central and
  southern New Jersey.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow is expected to begin Friday evening in
  Delmarva and southern New Jersey, spreading northward overnight
  into Saturday morning. Snow may be heavy at times through early
  afternoon before diminishing late in the day. Winds may generate
  areas of blowing snow and low visibilities at times. The storm
  total snow forecast remains very uncertain, so stay tuned to the
  latest forecasts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

    I came here to say this. I have to confess getting a notification on my phone saying WINTER STORM WATCH felt awesome. Just seeing that notification felt like progress in this desolate dry winter. 

    • Weenie 1

    January 31-February 2, 2021 Major Winter Storm Observations

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

    I just noticed that we haven't seen a plow come by since around 3pm. Before that we had the big one come by several times and a smaller pickup once or twice. They're probably all being pressed into service on the major roads at the moment. Glad my jobsite cancelled work again tomorrow since I probably won't be able to get out without a lot of digging even after they plow.

    Also in retrospect, I wish I had set up a camera on the back deck for time-lapse. I'll definitely do that next time.

    Still snowing, lighter but still decent. Might break 2' before all is said and done. This is our first winter in Reading and the wife and I are loving this. (Her a little bit less so since she works from home lol.) One for the books, and the storm we'll use for comparison for many years to come.

    I do feel bad that many of us weren't able to cash in on the snow totals this time around and I understand there's a bit of anger and disappointment to be had. It happens, and I've been in the same boat more times than I care to remember. And I'm sure at some point I'll get fringed again while others put up big numbers. But for now, this has turned into an instant winter classic that we'll be talking about for a long time.

    Cheers and goodnight everyone.

    I’m glad you and others got some amazing snow!! Here in Newtown, we certainly didn’t get the hoped for snow amounts. Still, reading this forum the week leading up to the storm and the anticipation was a tremendous amount of fun. Also, we did get a lot of sleet, and I had never seen such a prolonged sleet event with such high precipitation.  I loved being part of this snow event.  As for the snow, maybe next time the snow gods will smile on my area:) 
     

     

    Jan. 31-Feb. 2 Miller B storm

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    1 hour ago, RedSky said:

    Weather World says meh 6-10" in SEPA in the forecast out 2 hours ago. A bit conservative.

     

    IDK why but for me, your comment really highlights just how awesome this storm could be. It’s so wonderful that 6-10” is “conservative.” We've been having such rotten winters lately that this storm feels like a dream. 

    • Like 3

    Jan. 31-Feb. 2 Miller B storm

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    4 hours ago, The Iceman said:

    I'm 20 years into this hobby and still learning! If you ever have questions about any posts here, definitely feel free to ask. I'll be glad to explain the best I can. It's always good to see new "weenies" in the making :)

    Thank you!!! As I learn more, I’ll definitely have questions. Before, I didn’t even know where to begin. I always failed at learning on my own because I didn’t know the science. I still don’t, but I’m finally truly learning. In all honesty, if there’s a hint of snow in the forecast, I turn to this forum to find the real forecast. With this wave 3 hopeful storm,  I’ve finally learned what a Miller B storm is... I hope this storm happens... It will be an entirely new experience to understand WHY it’s snowing. 

    • Like 2

    Jan. 31-Feb. 2 Miller B storm

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    38 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

    Welcome to the board!

     

    Here are the 2 free sites I use to model watch. I also have a subscription though for the euro and eps.

    Tropical tidbits:

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2021012612&fh=162

     

    Pivotal weather:

     

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021012612&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

     

    Feel free to ask questions whenever! I know I'm a bit down on these threats but I still enjoy tracking them :lol:

     

     

     

     

     

    Thank you! I’ll bookmark them! Somehow by staying in my literature & languages niche, I never learned the underpinnings of the science of weather.  I did attempt to learn on my own but found it wasn’t easy like learning a language. I needed a teacher. I just discovered the class yesterday.  A sad example of my lack of knowledge - I knew cold air is heavier than warm air, but I only learned yesterday it’s called buoyancy:D My goal is to be able to read the  posts here and fully understand everything said. 

    Jan. 31-Feb. 2 Miller B storm

    in Philadelphia Region

    Posted

    Please post weather the weather model runs you’re loving if it isn’t too much trouble though I might well be the only one who isn’t good at finding them on my own. I’ve been excited since I read Ralph’s posts here last night.  The possibility is wonderful fun regardless of whether we get some snow or a ton from the storm.   
     

    I’ve intended to learn for awhile now and am finally taking a Harvard (Free- using EdX) “Backyard Meteorology” online course. I learned about isobars yesterday:) I’m light-years behind all of you, but weather is one of my favorite things. I know weather (I was over the moon the first time I saw graupel), but I don’t know the science behind it.... or the science behind that:) I’m learning though:) 

    • Like 1
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