PB COLTS NECK NJ

Great question man , if we get hung up in p8 and p1 then it`s prolonged , but we need to see where the sinking / convection goes after week 2. Jan 10 - Feb 20 was my BN period , I think that will work in the end / BUT I realize if it doesn`t snow you guys don`t GAF. And I get it.

I never predict snow in the L/R ever. I predict temps. You may be cold and dry , but the MJO is going into p8 and then p1 after a brief 5 or so day warm up. So you may have a shot to snow while you are in those favored phases , but no one can tell you for sure. So p8 , p1 and return to colder weather after the warm up yes I am predicting that

Here are your next 15 days Here`s your break

I told you last week that we were going into p8 , you responded are you betting against the EURO ? Now the Euro with those awful RIMM plots which failed in early Jan have failed again see p8 . There is a 5 day break and that`s it, I think it`s time you pay attention to the guidance.

The GFS is too amped ( like in early Jan ) the EURO bias is to run into the null ( but is better IMO ) . The VP 200 anomalies off Mike Ventrice MJO site has worked the best . It caught the MJO back in early Jan ( you will see that on the 1st 5 pages in this thread ) And it is catching it again.

Ignore the RIMM plots.

The Euro will correct even stronger into p8. This is why I posted last week that the RIMM plots were wrong by killing it before 8. In fact the MJO will go into 8 and then 1

This was always going into p8

There`s zero bad news for me , my call was that we turn colder from Jan 10 onward , we did. The next 5 days are BN with L snow , then we warm for 5 days before the MJO goes back into 8. There`s no bad news.. It hasn`t snowed - I trade energy I don`t care about your backyard , I think I posted to Brian 2 weeks ago , you may be cold and dry Calling Brian ,,, could you enlighten the young lad pls

The next 5 are cold , small snow shots , then we def warm for 5 days and then we prob reset. The MJO could always wheel back into a crud p , but before it does I think it gets to 8

Use these , you are going back into a low amplitude p8

Dude , the next 5 days are well BN with 2 shots of light snow , Your " breakdown " is a 5 to 7 day period of AN , then it`s back ( in the 10 -15 ) as we head towards p8. You guys think it`s over ? Good luck bud.

The EPS / GEFS are - 3 to- 4 SD

The 6z GEFS and 0z EPS take the NAO negative after the 30th , not sure what Anthony is looking at.