weaponxreject

Per the "up to 120mph", definitely didn't happen sustained wise, and gusts were mostly in the ~100mph range, so the guidance wasn't off much for those on the coast imho. Agreed, the Cat5 talk needed to be toned down. Especially when, per the SS scale and keeping in mind the general public's knowledge, there isn't really a huge difference between a 4 and 5 wind wise, and one could potentially argue that after a TC reaches a 3 the Cat is irrelevant. I understand keeping a balance. Idk, maybe I didn't hear/see any of the fear-mongering you're referring to because I was mentally balls deep in the meteorological side versus public side. Per the climo though... I've seen it referenced over and over by experienced Mets and by weenies on forums like these that this wasn't a storm one could really compare to climo because of the stack of statistical anomalies involved. Were they all wrong? Were they all focusing too much on those outliers versus the larger synoptic picture, so to speak? I want all input and perspectives because it could very well be me one day writing a FD for dissemination by the NHC... Conversations like these matter, but the hyperbole from both sides damages the goal, I feel, of properly conveying threat to life and property. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

I completely understand that, on a timeline that large, small impact. Cool. How does that factor into the average life span for the country/region? People who have migrated into the state from regions that don't have storms like this regularly, if ever? Isn't it a bit too objective to look at this situation from that much of a macro? The numbers and data meteorologists and weenies focus on are all fine and good, that's more or less why I'm as interested as I am. I constantly struggle with remembering that that data often has very real life-changing and life-threatening impacts downstream. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

Check out @NWSWilmingtonNC’s Tweet: This one tweet says it all... I've read a lot/posted little with a rudimentary understanding of the general mechanics of tropical systems and for the last week have been pushing my friends/family in the area to pay attention to the surge and flooding potential. I don't understand the vitriol. I really don't. Why are people being so damn negative? For real, I wish someone would explain their position rationally. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

Born and raised (Aaron Lakes West) in that area. Didn't the town drain HM Lake last week in prep? I'm catching reports it's back up toward full/minor because of the Cape Fear River. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

I wanna ask you this, with no disrespect intended... What would you have done, if you were at the NHC or any of our NWS offices (RAH, ILM, etc) if coming into Wed/Thurs last week all/majority guidance indicated the intensity projected? iirc nothing was showing the potential for southerly wind shear, series of EWRC, and the dry air. How would you have worded AFDs, and how would you have communicated that guidance to the media and the public? I genuinely want to know, not to prove a point or attack you for your posts. I hope to, within the next 5-10 years, be working at the NHC or in the private sector wrt tropical systems. Communication of threats and dangers related to these storms is crucial to ensuring preparation and protection of life and property. Intensity forecasting confidence definitely lags behind track forecast confidence, and after reading discussions by those like DT and Cranky and Allan, it's been interesting to the the debates between those who focus on models and those who focus on synoptic/observational for forecasting. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

At this point, people are going to keep comparing it to other storms to find ways to bash the media because they WANT to be mad about something and at someone. We haven't even begun to fully realize the effects of the flooding we're in for here, nevermind what this storm is going to do in the mountain regions in the coming days. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

That's what I thought... Thanks! Good to know hurricanes aren't ever something to worry about unless you live near something the army core of engineers built [emoji57][emoji849] Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

Not to keep beating the drowned horse, but didn't Katrina bring storm surges of over 20ft with it? Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

ABC News is reporting the same, including an interview with an Emergency Services representative, iirc. Tornado Warning for southern Warren county just went up to, until 3:30am Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

fwiw, here's the story. It was never not the story. Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

All this pecking at a keyboard... Where's your camera at? Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk