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The Graupler

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Posts posted by The Graupler

  1. I think the forthcoming 12z and 18z models will be paramount to deciding whether the storm misses  except for SNE, or a mamouth storm. We will need an end to the easterly trends, see continuous phasing to be supported, and we’ll need to capture the upper end scenarios to have a shot at this

  2. 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

    This is a now cast

    models imo have demonstrated many times that they struggle mightily when there are two dual competing lows . I think there are situations they just can’t figure it out well .

    Don’t tell us what is and isn’t a nowcast.

     

    looks models arent prefect but they’re better than chewing on dry spaghetti spitting it out on the floor and counting the pieces of spaghetti that aren’t stuck together and calling that for the storm total.  

    • Confused 4
  3. Irene was a fluctuo-cane as it’s derived in the industry.  You don’t see those too often… especially not in this area.  I think this fact paired with the upper systemic bias of the convoluted jet stream and you get the heavy flooding associated with Irene. 
     

    this is unlikely with Henri 

    • Like 1
  4. Have a tremendous stomach ache, cramping, light fever.... same way i had a sore throat and cough last March.  Wonder if Im patient zero for March 2021's super pandemic virus.    Only plus is I've been on island the whole time unlike last year so not a ton of contact with non islanders.

  5. Havent followed weather with nothing interesting on the radar.  Used to wind, but last night came as a mild shock.  I woke from my edible induced sleep hearing whipping winds and my first thought was that a rogue planet  had entered our solar system and the gravitational pull was enough to accelerate wind speeds

  6. 9 minutes ago, HinghamBoss said:

    This beyond surreal watching these posts.  Hard to think of the last time South Shore was this shut out of a storm.

    Feels like when theres usually a Nor'easter some section of Boston and the immediate suburbs are in the jackpot zone. 

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