Wintersnow888

On 4/14/2022 at 10:57 AM, Matthew70 said:

I read somewhere maybe here that it’s possible to continue to have these well into May.  Which would keep severe wx season not as active for these parts but also make it feel like we went from winter straight to summer.  Though I do love 60’s for highs.  Hardly any insects & no skitters.  Fescue just loves it with rain.  My yard might be best I’ve ever seen it.  For me anytime we can delay upper 80’s & 90’s till at least June I’m good.  This has to be the most wind for a season that I ever remember.  The last 2-3 months have been windy.  

I agree on being ok with highs in 60s. My grandfather always talked about the little winters here on the plateau, dogwood first I think,and woolen britches winter and whippoorwill winter and I think blackberry winter is around the end of May when blackberries are in bloom. Someone else in the thread may have mentioned this already

Leading edge just came through 

On 4/7/2022 at 4:54 AM, Holston_River_Rambler said:

MRX is going with 4 - 6 above 5000 feet or so. I may have a chance to go above 5000 feet on Saturday, there will be pictures if I do. 

 

 

Any chance they're wrong and we might get more?  Probably the last snow anyway...

Rain coming down hard and we have gotten some pretty strong cracks of lightning and thunder, should be heading everyone else's way east of me

Thinking the gust front just came through, but it wasn't very strong, dogs are freaking out though

5 minutes ago, VOLtage said:

The sun has been out for a while now here in Maryville.

Never cleared out here in Cumberland, sky has  noticably gotten darker in last 2o minutes and cloud layer lowering.... starting to hear thunder

Noticed the NWS has lowered our temp highs for the next few days. They had 60s and have now posted high 40s because of snow. Anyone else notice it in their areas? 

Wind has definitely been a factor all night, final band very gusty. It's knocked the snow out of a lot of the trees onto the ground .Glad to see more members get snow this time as well

2 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said:

Small flakes imby, but man it's pouring it. Visibility is crazy low and the wind blows it around in curtains. Doesn't feel or look like a typical southern snow, feel very midwestern blowing snow type snow.

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Was just outside, and had the same thought. Very similar to snows we had in Missouri 

Gonna keep it and look at it in August when it's about 90 degrees

Ground is white down to 29 gonna try to get a picture

Wind has really picked up and down to 31

16 minutes ago, Shocker0 said:

Yeah I drove from town and it wasn't doing anything, and felt about 5 degrees warmer. Then started sprinkling right off Exit 311. Looks like it'll change to snow very shortly. Weather Channel has lowered us to 1-3" though

Interesting....had several customers tell me they heard on local radio ( the TV met report) that areas in Cumberland county were getting 10 Inches ...I listened on way from town but didn't hear it ....oh well don't know what to make of that !?!

Just now, Shocker0 said:

36 now and sleet

Just got home from work and it changed from rain to sleet as I drove from Crossville

12 minutes ago, Shocker0 said:

Good snow shower moving through Crossville right now.

Yes I tried to take a picture but was unsuccessful.... Nice surprise and hope it is a good omen for tomorrow!!

1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Quick thought: I wonder if there is a sort of  funnel that is created by the extensions of the plateau, that helps focus lift, if the wind is NW/ NNW:

Have often wondered that myself.....I live in my grandparents' house that I inherited, and it sits on my  great-grandparents' land ( the old house is long gone), but often heard stories growing up about the big snows and how there wouldn't be any snow in town sometimes , or just a dusting. BTW, I live in the Mayland area just below your arrow. My Papaw always said that it was the elevation , since we are several hundred feet higher ....but it seems that something else is at play since as Shocker0 said , the differences even around here are noticable

Nothing on radar

Got a dusting overnight, just started snowing again here a half hour ago almost an inch what a surprise

20 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Man, the ground here is barely unfrozen.  I still see ice on small creeks where I run.  The ground is not warm at TRI..maybe extreme south facing slopes, but otherwise, the ground is super cold.

Same here in Cumberland county..... seems to be frozen a couple inches down here

This is from Morristown

Discussion:

At least one more day of very warm temperatures is expected on
Friday as warm air is advected into the area ahead of an approaching
front over the weekend. Friday still looks to be the warmest day of
the next week with temperatures in the Valley reaching around 60
across much of the area. Front is expected to make it`s way into the
eastern Tennessee Valley during the day on Saturday and slowly move
eastward through the day and into Sunday morning. Models are still
trying to figure out 2 main aspects of this system. The synoptic
forcing that will help propel the system, and the moisture in the
atmosphere as it moves through the southeast U.S.

Better forcing will be likely develop to our south and east as this
system swings through and most models want to develop/strengthen the
surface low when it`s closer to the Atlantic coast. Past few runs of
ensemble models are hinting at an increase in moisture availability,
and in response QPF amounts have increased in the forecast. This is
still however the lowest confidence aspect of the forecast with
several models keeping PWAT values fairly low, around 0.25 inches
while others are a bit more optimistic on moisture return with PWATs
closer to 0.50 inches. In response have increased PoP chances in
southwest VA closer to some of the better synoptic forcing along the
front, and have slightly bumped up QPF amounts over the weekend.
This all really comes into play as temperatures overnight drop below
freezing and we possibly transition to a wintry mix of precipitation
early Sunday. Ensemble models are mostly still fairly light on
snowfall totals with the highest amounts in the mountains and
southwest VA... Still a bit early to get into specifics of the
amounts as models will undoubtedly change once again overnight...
But with very warm temperatures and sunny skies the rest of this
week and just ahead of the front, expect a lot of melting of snow
once it hits the ground, so hopefully impacts from any snow will be
minimal.

Chance for a quick second round of light wintry weather on Monday,
but models have bounced around a lot with how to handle a quick
shortwave on Monday... So confidence is pretty low in this actually
occurring, but will include mentionable PoPs in southwest VA on
Monday.

Next week surface and mid level ridging builds in fairly quickly and
we`ll see above normal temperatures by Tuesday.

ABM

&&

Temperature has dropped to 24.7 and it's sleeting mixed with snow...I don't see anything on radar, does anyone else

4 hours ago, John1122 said:

Very brief freezing drizzle here. The HRRR handled it much better than any other model imby, unless that bit of moisture out toward Nashville does something, which I doubt. Unlike many events like this, sub freezing cold was much slower to arrive than predicted. The models showing .2 or .3 zr here had 20s rushing in. Instead it's 31.8. 

 

Have had steady freezing drizzle and a few flakes.....at 29 currently but not expecting much of a rise today. School cancelled for Cumberland county not sure of other counties

Temperature is down to 33 already, very quickly dropping from my previous reading, steady light to moderate rain

1 hour ago, John1122 said:

Any cold air will happen after midnight most likely. It's actually well under forecast temps here as of now. They had 57 here but its only 51. 

Yeah we never got to our forecast high either, they had us at 55 and the highest I saw was between 50 and 51

Heavy rain starting here after a several hour lull, temperature is 49, ugh ....way too warm. Hoping the cold air gets here more quickly than forecast. Any hope for that out there?