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Posts posted by shahroz98
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2 minutes ago, rowjimmy73 said:
well IF the GEFS is correct, it beats last jan up here in KDAN. Just a quick glance at my twitter and the map says approx a foot over here...let the good times roll
I only have the ensembles but hey, it's looking good for everyone
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Hope the RGEM run verifies
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Warm nose over me causing the models to lessen the totals. If it ends up verifying, its going to be the 3rd storm in a row where i got warm nosed and the next county over has atleast 2 inches on the ground ):
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What do you guys feel about ATL, GSP, and Charlotte in terms of snow totals as of now ? Seems to me like most of the models are in somewhat agreement..
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The weather channel has 5-8 inches just west of Durham in a small sliver. I guess there's some hope.
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The NAM is starting to a little too far NW for my liking
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Time to throw in the towel i guess. Good run guys. Hopefully we get another one soon
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Is the reduced totals on the NAM due to not enough precip in certain areas or not enough cold ? I dont get why it would do a 180 at this point
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3 minutes ago, griteater said:
GFS out to 21 and I don't think it's going to budge....height field across the SE is an exact match and little change out west
RGEM has a warm nose killing off any wintry precip just east of Atlanta and beyond. I dont know how reliable that model is but its sorta falling in with the NAM and GFS at this point ):
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11 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:
Bogus run....
Do you think this'll be a trend ?
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What's happening with the NAM ? i dont have the model available so i dont know whats going on. Someone want to elaborate ?
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The latest NAM run looks alot less juiced
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3 minutes ago, DopplerWx said:
going to have wet grass and wet roads, little to nothing will stick outside of car tops and elevated surfaces. model sees .2" qpf falling as snow and paints it on a clown map that people get excited about when .18" of that qpf will melt as soon as it makes contact.
My local mets in Atlanta are now starting to talk about the potential. One of them is saying 1/2 to 1 inch for now. Its a good sign IMO
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14 minutes ago, snowlover91 said:
For those doubting the warm nose being shown... if you are near the 700mb 0C or higher line in NC, per soundings, there is a significant warm nose at the 700-800mb level that would give a nice cold 33F and rain. The warm air being pushed in is a real deal, even with a less amped solution Raleigh and surrounding areas would likely be a cold rain for the bulk of the heavy precip.
Is there a warm nose near Atlanta or NE Ga ? Im new to some of this stiff so I can't really tell
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Just now, BornAgain13 said:
NAM is definitely further east this time.... It just seems like the trends are to be further east.
Pretty much means a bust for Atlanta, GSP, and Charlotte if it jogs further east in the next run
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Just now, olafminesaw said:
A warm nose is showing up this run. Verbatim would be pretty epic, but I don't like the look in general.
NAM ?
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The Weather Channel has 1-3 inches for Warm Springs, Ga. Thats pretty south of Atlanta.
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Brad isnt saying much on the snow chances
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I feel like there's a warm nose east of Atlanta on the NAM...is it just me ? i feel like its going to bust again
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When was the last time flakes flew in early December ?
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018
in Southeastern States
Posted
I was looking back at the Jan '88 storm on Youtube. Most of North Ga got alot of sleet and freezing rain. Carolinas got heavy snow