Chucktown81

12 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

GFS just took a step towards the 0z euro track that parallels the coast of SC.

Curious, how helpful/accurate are these models (GFS/Euro) this point so close the landfall of the storm?  Are there other models at this point in the short range that do better with storm direction?  Or is it just nowcasting at this point?

Regardless of what the models are telling us, what does the atmosphere look like now?  How is the current track trending?  Is it more N, NW, or right on track?  Looks like its on the north side of the "cone" right now?

Hi guys, everyone in my area is not concerned about the storm, but I am. What do you guys think about my area of 30809, Evans GA. I am to trying prepare , but getting really worried 

Prepare for rain, that would be the biggest threat it tracks further inland and south. Could be very little, could be a lot more depending on track. Are you in a flood prone area that floods during heavy rain? If so, plan on being somewhere else just in case. If not, you should be fine. Follow the NHC closely. Have a plan. Don’t panic, be prepared and follow your local officials.


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Hopefully this thing goes out to sea. I need some advice but my problems are not even close to what Carolina residents have to deal with, but I am still in need of help.
 
I'm flying into CHS from Philly Wednesday morning to visit my brother, and am supposed to go back Saturday morning. I only go down once a year really and we're supposed to go to an indoor concert in Charleston Friday. Seems like that will get cancelled and I'll get stuck at the airport Saturday. Perhaps I just shouldn't go? I have no experience with this kind of thing at all, and this is only my second time flying.

There is still a chance this gets dangerously close to Charleston. Don’t get hung up on the weather weenies here posting each model run as gospel. Charleston is still well within the cone of uncertainty. The models will continue to shift. By Tuesday it should be much clearer as to where this will go and I think you’ll be in a better position to make a call or not to come down to Charleston (I live in downtown CHS btw). If it’s looking like a likely major impact, they will issue evacuation for our area and all of the freeways will be reversed and a **** ton of people go to grocery stores and gas stations at the same time and it will be a little nuts. They would likely make the evacuation call by Wednesday. Went through this with Matthew a few years ago, which wasn’t even that bad of a hurricane. This could be much worse depending on where it lands. Follow official NHC forecasts, not weather weenies, and follow the local news here in chs (twitter is good place to get local news alerts). If it were me, I would definitely continue to plan on coming here as of now, and make the call to come or not on Tuesday.


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