swva

Heading back home.  Fun week with final total of 33”.  Had 3” last night.  Thanks for letting me be apart of your board this week.  Hope you guys kill the rest of winter up here!

Just measured 11” which brings me to 30” since last Saturday.  

Heavy snow falling again as things seemed to re-fire here on the Tug.  Have to be double digits.  Will go out and measure soon.

Looks like  8-9” here so far.  Probably got most of that in a 3 hour period.

Not much happening off Ontario at the moment.  Trying to decide if it’s worth staying up for.  What are you thinking Wolfie?

2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

Another day/night of radar watching lol

Getting started on a WSW flow. 

I wish things would shift south earlier.  It’s killing my sleep habits haha.  

15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Once again the rgem is more than double any model around here.. Becoming hard to trust it.. Ironically last event it had hardly anything here..

Nws obviously isn't buying it. 

We can still hope it wins one time lol.  I always thought it was a pretty good model for LES in the past.

Next event as of now.

Looks like about 7” here.  Congrats Wolfie!  Glad you cashed in!

Ripping in South Redfield now.  Band looks pretty stationary!

2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Now it's starting to rip..

Flakes started out small but are increasing in size, down to 27°..

I’m on the southern fringe right now.  Light snow with small flakes right now.  Doesn’t look to swing straight through but need a little more southward movement 

9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah, according to the NWS the band *should"drop south after midnight.. Flow 280ish which will once again keep me on the fringe lol I think we need a 275 ish here.. Good luck..

A persistent cyclonic flow will circulate colder air across the
region through tonight...with H85 temps falling to arnd -12c this
evening to -15c by Wednesday morning. Additional support will come
in later this evening as shortwave over western Great Lakes makes
its way eastward. This will maintain significant lake snows east of
the lakes where lake snow warnings remain in effect into Wednesday
morning. The steering flow will veer from roughly 260 this evening
to 280 after midnight, then to 300 on Wednesday when the region will
be found in the H85 thermal trough. While this sub arctic airmass
will tend to expand the lake snows over the region (largely due to
spray off Lake Ontario)...a crashing cap will leads to MUCH less
efficient snow-making southeast of the lakes. Even so, much of
western NY to the Finger Lakes will pick up a couple inches of snow
on Wednesday.

What’s the best radar site for up here?

I’m not too optimistic about tonight.  I have been coming up here 16 years and watched the band sweep right by when it drops south.

Later this week looking good right now though.  And I have had 14” here since Friday so I’ll take it.

How much did you get today?

2” so far today.  Hope this gets more organized soon.  Looks rough right now.  

Ended up with around 11” in south Redfield.  Trying to keep up with Carol LOL

Between 8-9” storm total so far at 7am.  Hope we can pick up another 3-5” today.

5” so far in South Redfield.  Been snowing better the past couple hours.  That is the daily total.

GO BILLS!!

40 minutes ago, swva said:

Maybe 6-8”.  Hoping to add double digits to that tonight but going to need a change in dendrites.  Had 2” this morning.  

Dendrites trying to improve now.  

4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Graupel has been VERY common in Upstate NY this winter. No deep cold around. Hopefully that changes this upcoming week. What's the snow depth up there?

Maybe 6-8”.  Hoping to add double digits to that tonight but going to need a change in dendrites.  Had 2” this morning.  

Temperatures seem to be wreaking havoc on dendrites here in South Redfield.  Kind of a snow/graupel mix.  Hope we see it change.

2 hours ago, LakeEffectKing said:

I just woke up. It's snowing pretty good in Cazenovia must've just flipped because I only have about 3/4 of an inch

About 1.5” since 5am.  Big wet snowflakes.  Weird to see such a wet snow in mid January.  But I’ll enjoy every flake.

Here is the latest snow map.  I’m in Redfield through next week.  Not North Redfield where Carol is but still should do okay.

My snow shield is strong tonight.  LOL

1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

Nice virga storm going on right now! There's no excuse now, we should be snowing not wondering if it'll snow! Simply pathetic

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Well it’s snowing in South Redfield but too warm to accumulate lol.  I think I would take virga 

39 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

What a difference from the 0z Nam

NAM 3k is definitely west.  Not sure it would be a hit but west at hour 60.

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Very inconsistent model 

Inconsistent but still the best