Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

It's embarrassing we have an American model as bad as the GFS

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Thats the trend right now... suppressed and more east.... doesnt look like this will be what we were hoping for.

Not sure what you're watching. May want to turn the channel. 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

I wouldnt worry about mixing at all in McDowell, lack of QPF is the big deal..This is in the EURO wheelhouse and its hard for me to think it is going to be a super amped bomb of a system when the Euro excels in handling southern stream lows

Euro is not what it use to be that's for sure. I like the UK now a days. We will see. Just glad to have something to track this early. 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Thats true but you usually want to see the NAM as the amped up and high QPF model.. not good for Western areas IMO...

The CMC and UK are plenty amped. Almost to the point I'm worried about mixing here 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Quite a bit further East as expected..

Yep about a 50 mile wobble east. Always going to see these small shifts back and forth up until about 24 hours out. 

1 minute ago, Tyler Penland said:

Crazy stuff. 

Smh. Id give anything to see Brad P reaction to this map. I bet he's hugging the GFS 

Just now, shahroz98 said:

Brad isnt saying much on the snow chances 

Shocked. 

GFS a better run. Inching closer to NAM and CMC. It's going to come around, baby steps right now. 

Low closer to the coast this run but doesn't translate to the precip field it should show. 

Maria has Carolina on her mind according to the GFS

2 minutes ago, catdaddyfalcon15 said:

857mb lol what a joke. anyway does the ERC seem to be beginning soon?

GFS is 50 mb too high and Euro is 70 mb too high. So HMON is definitely closer to reality. 

Just now, strongwxnc said:

I assume this guy is kidding... 

We can only hope..

1 hour ago, Timothy Clyde said:

When I read GSP's AFD for winter storms they are always so giddy like they have never seen snow before. I thought about emailing the east coast headquarters in Maryland about their lack of professionalism. It's like a long children's book.

What was in your Cheerios this morning? 

2 minutes ago, Jonathan said:

The looney bin is gonna be rocking today when the 12z EURO shows a warm cutter!

6z GFS already says nope to anyone getting a storm period.

Are you sure you looked at the right 6Z GFS. It clearly shows a major winter storm...