Imgoinhungry

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

10 am

expecting schools to close again,but then just have rain!

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, 18z Euro time

Prep yourself for freezing line to be further north!

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

CWG is the ICON of weather media.

i agree.  gfs overplaying cold front.  

CWG said "nothing to worry about" for friday

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

84 moved to southern MD..light precip over the area...it's further south than 6z at the time...but precip is moving out

87 probably snow over the area...850 and 0 south of us..but light stuff on the way out

dude, you deserve some sort of award for your pbp.

2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

If the Euro showed it, DT would hug it until it passed out from asphyxiation.

he argues southern winds will flow into mid atlantic and basically block advance of cold front.  Other models key in on this... gfs on an island.  Same issue 1/20.

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

If the Euro showed it, DT would hug it until it passed out from asphyxiation.

didnt he recently admit the euro is no longer king?

Just now, Solution Man said:

Just like his snow maps 

i hear ya, but i agree with him on this one.

DT just said there is no way the cold temps via the gfs verify for fri am.  FWIW.

8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

At this point I don’t even care but I will say that my experience in this situation is the cold air is always slower to progress than modeled.

exactly this!

2 minutes ago, 87storms said:

the advertised temp drop on the gfs from 6z to 12z is suspect.  even if the surface temps drop like that, the mid levels are not ideal.  i think we want that trailing wave friday to take its sweet time getting itself together for this to work out.

it failed with the advertised temp drop on the 20th

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I haven't even looked at it, but

THE ICON SUCKS

icon outcome is what I am expecting!  I suspect the gfs is doing an awful job of handling cold front.

What is record for most freezing rain in dc metro?  

Did the gfs not fail miserably with the cold front on the 21st?  Or whatever day schools closed due to rain?  Similiar set up, no?  Euro was all over that event.

Just now, Baltimorewx said:

ICON took a step back if anyone cares about it. Cold press a little slower, track a little more inland 

gfs will show all rain in 30 min.  Nail in the coffin for this one.

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Been busy with work so haven't really tracked this week's event but LWX seemed to hedge against the GFS solution in their forecast discussion - but left the door open with the caveat...

Models have in the past been too quick with the cold air
in an anafrontal situation but every event isn`t the same. 

certaintly showed that w the debacle a few weeks ago.

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

18 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

7am Friday DC temps:
18z GFS:  29
18z Euro:  56

The most non winter solution always wins

correct!

5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

7am Friday DC temps:

18z GFS:  29

18z Euro:  56

I mean... what the hell.

Looking forward to the "Ha, I was just effing with you" GFS run tonight that goes back to showing all rain.  Will wash the salt away at least!

GFS has significant ice for areas NW starting around 6am.  Legit or no?  Dont think freezing rain will be an issue due to surface temps.  Sleet that melts on contact?

3 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Man great HH gfs, an absolute parade of short waves.  Something would hit eventually. 

negative.  Will be rain or low will be too far off shore and precip will miss us entirely

41 minutes ago, Ji said:

Been gone all day...of course the non snowy gfs destroyed the snowy euro again

of course.  expected nothing less.

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Next

next what?  nothing on horizon.  boring.  

5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

GFS and CMC couldnt be further apart with the 500 look next weekend. Let the model wars continue. 

gfs will win

PGCPS dismissing 2 hours early tomm... why!!?