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Diggiebot

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Posts posted by Diggiebot

  1. 11 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:

    The Canal acting as Gandolf the Grey for Cape Cod getting in on the goodies.

    ”You shall not pass!”

    It’s def picked up here in Dennis. Between the wind and steadier snow it’s complete whiteout here. I think the radar is finally back building some so I think we get a last hurrah here the next few hours. 

  2. 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

    Zonked is always a NAM worry. But it has some support from the Euro, which makes it more believable. 

    We saw this with Juno. Zonked to the west near game time then it tickled east. I think we see this end the west shift evening out tonight then it tickles sightly east during game time. 

  3. 1 minute ago, CCHurricane said:

    Lost in all of this chaos is Cape Cod no longer being a solid position...gradient between 2 feet and not much looks to be ~25 miles. 

    We’ve seen lots of shifts with it still being mostly snow excluding the latest NAM but it’s the NAM. I think wait and see the rest of the model runs. Even the furthest west Euro which was very close to the cape kept us all snow. I think If it does go west anymore it’ll be all snow but if we see anymore shift westward it will change over. 

  4. 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

    Seems like we are somewhere between "Hey wow that's really, really west again," "Okay seriously it can stop now" and "it will tick back east, it always does" depending on the exact location of each poster.

    long way to go folks.

    Especially with people taking one run as gospel. Haven’t we learned anything this week? It won’t happen exactly as the model shows. It’s about the whole picture. 

    • Thanks 1
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  5. 1 minute ago, Cold Miser said:

    Just toss the runs that show solutions that people don't like.

    If the NAM were showing a snowy solution people would be all over it. 

    But it’s not really a solution that makes a lot of sense and it is all over the place run to run so it’s not throwing it out for a unwanted solution. We are tossing because of inconsistency. 

    • Like 1
  6. 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    Obviously going to have to factor wind into this somehow (which I will admit I don't have much knowledge on) but 12z NAM bufkit is spitting out some pretty impressive ratios. I wonder have to think under the CCB ratios probably approach 18:1 with snowfall rates 3-4'' per hour...maybe upwards of 5''.

    I think you could see some locations pull a foot in only a few hours with this. It happened with Jan 23 2005 with the strongest bands. 

    • Like 1
  7. 6 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

    2-3 feet of snow with hurricane force wind gusts would knock out a lot of power though 

    No leaves on the trees and the wind prevents sticking if it’s true blizzard. 2005 and 2015 on the cape we had minimal outages. The snow and completely impassable roads would be way more of a problem. 

    • Like 2
  8. 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said:

    Very light rain up here the past 2 hours.  Seems like the northern edge (me) might have been overdone.  New Euro says 2" for me but I don't see it

    18Z Euro precip amounts came down slightly in SNE but still 3 to 4.25" for everyone

    Radar is way more important to look at now. I’d guess globals are mostly useless now. Mesos models if anything. 

  9. 2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

    As of 545pm east time I still have not seen any storm chaser video that is showing true high end Cat 3 conditions.  I am just comparing some of the Youtube videos of past major storms.  Maybe no ones position if directly under the worst of the eyewall.  Reed Timmers video in Houma definitely has not shown true near white out conditions as we saw many times with Michael.  Ida's radar and satellite presentation is so impressive so chasers must be just missing the inner eyewall.

    Have you been watching the web cam and chaser vids? They are all showing cat 4 conditions easily. Not sure what you are looking at. Also I’m sure the worst of this wasn’t even caught on video. Storms this bad make it hard to capture. Video cuts out and communication is lost. 

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