monsoonman1

Just now, SluggerWx said:

Not sure if someone's going to start a thread about Sunday or events into next week, maybe it would be a good idea... Anyways, 18z GFS shows pretty pretty crazy soundings near Ardmore, OK Sunday evening.

 

Wouldn't be opposed to a thread. Sunday and Tuesday may end up being decent events.

And very likely another one near Hot Springs, AR.

Definite TDS near Marshall, TX.

Now a 10% tornado risk for east Texas and North Louisiana. 

Had a brief blast of snow/sleet in Lawrence, KS. Melted as it hit the ground.

5% tornado probabilities for parts of NW TX and SW OK. I'd imagine some chasers will be out.

Sunday night into Monday morning is looking quite interesting for Central into SE Texas. NAM soundings are eye-catching, with high instability for this time of year along with good low-level shear. There are still questions, but could be a big start to the new year.

Next week+ are looking fairly interesting for severe weather prospects. Tomorrow 11/22 has a Slight Risk outlooked for Central and NE Texas. Wouldn't be too surprised to see a couple tornadoes (which would break a month-long streak of no reported tornadoes in the US.) After tomorrow, looks to remain active with storm systems moving across the country. Anything will be better than the extremely quiet pattern we've experienced.

Well, doesn't look like there will be much activity for a week or two. Gives me time to work on a few things setup-wise. Hope the next rounds of severe weather are in chaseable areas, anyway.