LansingWeather

3 minutes ago, TheRegionRat said:

Well, my expectations have been low, and at least I won't be disappointed.  Maybe I'll see the high end, and get enough snow to briefly cover the grass, before the rain washes it away.  Maye the backside snows cover some of the grass???

In my experience, backside snows always underperform. I wish you luck though.

Man, you just can't beat climo. Lansing always seems to get snow-rain for most of the storm then a few hours of crappy snow behind the storm. Most of that gets swallowed up by the standing water.This is why I am happy I moved away, its like the models mentally abused me lmfao.

I'm pretty impressed a storm in the low 980s to upper 970s has no cold air to work with, and even the warm sector doesnt seem to be too strong. I would have expected 50s in the warm sector up to Michigan with that track, and teens or low 20s on the backside with a storm like this.

980 is not a common storm here, does anyone know how rare that is for this area? I'd guess 90th percentile. Sad to see it be a general run of the mill. I will still be excited to be in a strong mid latitude storm though, its been a while, for me.

Anyway, I am sure the fri-sat storm will be better since I fly out on Thursday.

15 minutes ago, Jonger said:

Why that guy doesn't move to Miami is beyond me.

 

I actually thought he DID live in Miami??

6 hours ago, Stebo said:

No, and stop going to bat for the worst of the worst, Christ.

I dont spend a lot of time on the boards here now that I moved out of region, but why was he a troll? I remember his posts and they seemed to be not wanting snow or cold, just curious as to why that is a problem? Probably a lot I missed, I guess...

I can pretty much assure you the 2nd half of January will be ripping for this subform, it always happens right as I leave, I get 2-3 weeks of clouds and mid 30s while I am up for Christmas, then big snows the day I leave, or just after. I leave jan 11, btw, so expect an uptick then

I want to see the 00z GFS from March 4th be correct. I am coming into Michigan to work on my jeep, getting it ready for a moab road trip and upper 20s and snow is going to be super cold for me vs the upper 50s and 60s the GFS was showing....

11 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Snow is drying up on radar rapidly from the west and south as the low moves away, if only it was a couple hours slower

It is really incredible to watch the precip dry up every frame, very fast. Michigan climo is just hard sometimes. I wish this area had the potential of the NE, but no big moisture source around.

Definitely looked like an awesome storm to be in though, nice timing as well. A lot of times the heaviest snow is in the wee hours of the morning and is hard to witness.

4 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said:

Anyone here in Monroe county mich? Looks insane over there under those returns

Yeah, that looks like a crazy band of snow. Really wish I could see it

Wow, looks really great up there. Congrats! Wish I could teleport up to MI for the storm lol. Band is getting really heavy over lansing.

WSWarning issued for Michigan. Is it just me or has the information derived from the WSWarning's really gone down hill? When I was younger they went through a lot of the expected outcome in detail. This one just says "Snowfall greater than 6 inches possible". And thats basically it.

1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said:

Palm weather is the best weather.

Yup, glad i'm finally back home.

While the big storm failed in Lansing, we did way over achieve on the snow. But as always, it got warm enough to melt it all off within a few days. Gotta live in the upper lake to have decent climo. Lansing's average high in january is 29F, so a +5 departure is 34 which is just as likely as a 24F.

5 hours ago, weatherbo said:

Road out to here is totally impassable.  Have received 25" or there about with some insane drifts on the roof and driveway.  Another 6-8" probably before things taper off. Power is out but geni keeping the freezers running and also the furnace just enough to supplement the wood stove.

Kitchen will be serving Mac-n-cheese and spam for Christmas Eve dinner.  

Sounds awesome! Luckily you can keep the food cold outside if it came to that, unlike severe thunderstorms in the summer.

12 minutes ago, Harry Perry said:

Everywhere and I mean literally everyone here closing early due to the “snow storm”. Garbage pick up is today and they called it off. No one on the roads/highway. Some ice on side/back roads but all other roads and highway is clear. Very windy, but visibility is pretty good. Filtered sun at times, very little if any snow accums today.  
 

Feels like a normal Michigan winter day. 

Man, I wish i was able to be in buffalo today. I flew up for the november storm

1 hour ago, mimillman said:

Precipitation has stopped here. About 2” down

We have around the same here, maybe a tad less.

You can disagree all you want, but the climo here sucks. I dont think getting 50" on average with numerous 1-3; 2-4 inch snows makes up up that, considering it usually all melts within a week. I was not wrong again, it sucked. Went from 7-13 inches, to 6-10 to finish to 2 inches. Maybe 2-4 more with lake effect if we are lucky.

3 minutes ago, SolidIcewx said:

We shall see when it gets to DTW

Massive let down so far. I think I have an inch by eyeballing it

The flakes were very large dendrites though, which was super nice and Christmas'y

10 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Another December finished with less than 2”. Ready 2 torch next week 

My sentiments exactly. I leave the 30th, and it can't come fast enough. They are expecting like 3-6 here, not a terrible storm, but definitely feels that way after what could have been.

1 hour ago, josh_4184 said:

Ready to be crushed wouldn't be surprised to see a few areas around my hit 30"+.  Biggert event I have ever experienced since moving here.

That honestly surprises me, Gaylord gets some of the most snow in the entire LP. I think only Keweenaw, Marquette, and Ontonagon get more than there.

3 minutes ago, dmc76 said:

11 systems of 12” in northern oakland county since 1999

Thats awesome, it seems like that area can do rally well in some storms. Is that because of the higher elevation?

24 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Gonna need another hand for those rare 12” events in Lansing

I would love another footer in the bag, but I dont think I am at 5 yet  since 99 which is when I was old enough to really remember events.

4 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

So the 0z HRRR was different. Heads up cyclone 

Different as in better (for snow) or worse? I dont typically check those meso models out.

EDIT: what matters is how the snow falls over the year, in most of michigan outside of the snowbelts its nickel and dimes. In places east and west its usually a couple bigger storms to get the same total.

11 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

Yup stuck in between big dog tracks/transfer zone. It is what it is. Once in awhile we can get a foot plus storm but prob happens once every 5 years.

I can count the number of 12" plus events on 1 hand since the 99 storm. I was expecting this one to have a good shot at that, but I guess I was wrong.

1 hour ago, mimillman said:

Now that’s just very wrong 

How is that wrong? I have lived in this area for the majority of my life. The best storms go west and east of Michigan, it warms up and we lose the few inches we manage to get. Lansing is too far from the lake to get anything other than mood flakes, good storms that make it nearly every time have mixing issues as well.

3 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Welcome! Sorry it's been a poor start to your first winter here, but should be fun tomorrow night I to the weekend!

Thats because the climo here is among the worst in the midwest lol. Only saving grace are the lake when add a lot of mood flakes.

Just looked at the 18z GFS. Yuck.

1 minute ago, RogueWaves said:

Was their Watch even up 8 hrs?? maybe they cancel headlines before it even starts

18 hours ago, LansingWeather said:

DTX is always like this. They dont issue watches until way late,  like sometimes watch, then next cycle warning. Totally negates the point of a watch...

On point.

And I am now ready to go back home lol. I forgot how heartbreaking this area can be. WSW for 6-10, but we'll see....