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sielicki

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Posts posted by sielicki

    February 21-23 Major Winter Storm

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    Clearly these offices are still learning to deal with their collective PTSD from how badly the Dec21 storm was called.

    When you call for warnings a week early and the models leave you hanging at the last minute, normal people are pissed but the weather nerds understand where you were coming from. 


    When you call it during (borderline after) the event, weather nerds will make forum posts laughing at you, and normal people will think that you nailed it.

    Among the two options, they prefer to be the ridicule of the Ohio valley subforum. Such is life.

    Winter 2022/23 Banter Hangout

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    Ski hills just can’t get a break. They pumped millions of gallons of water at night to do their best to make snow and survive the warm stretch from the 4th week of December through the third week of January. Then it looks like winter is finally returning for a week.

    Reverse uno card: 40s and rain on the ten day with worse to follow.

    • Sad 1

    Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    Legitimately very worried about this storm. I’m out in the woods and every single tree is still loaded with ice from last week when we had rain followed by a quick freeze that allowed snow to stick. If the wind gusts deliver as forecasted, which seems to be the only certain thing about this system, there’s a very good chance that a tree falls where I would prefer it wouldn’t. I could see this being a serious event in terms of $ damage.

    • Like 1

    Dec. 10-11 Severe Weather

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    I really hope that at some point we get a postmortem on what happened to the radar at Paducah. If there's physical damage that took Paducah down -- fine, that's going to happen sometimes. But what I find inexcusable is that many meteorologists, especially public facing meteorologists doing newscasts, failed to recognize that it was serving old data and subsequently gave many timelines that were off by like 10 minutes.

    My point is this: it's not their fault that they didn't recognize this when they're busy with running a newscast. The problem is structural in the protocols and tools that are used to distribute this data. If a data source goes down, it needs to not publish old data as if it's new, and there need to be big warning signs in all the tools that you're looking at old data. It should never happen that a meteorologist is telling people that the tornado will be there in 10 minutes when in reality it's already over the city.

    But that happened last night. And it's a huge failure.

    I think this issue, which is fundamentally a software issue in my mind, probably cost at least one person their life.

    • Like 2

    Dec. 10-11 Severe Weather

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    13 minutes ago, Witness Protection Program said:

     

    WOW. It's just a giant mess of metal. Most of the time you can see a story in destruction -- this wall fell because this thing fell on it, the roof collapsed because this tree fell on it, etc.. There's no story to that. I cannot imagine being in that town right now.

    Dec. 10-11 Severe Weather

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Disc said:

    I think PAH is down hard. Radar image is old. Springfield is doing full service backup.

    I've been watching

    https://www.kfvs12.com/livestream/

    and they've been very confused about old data for the past ~10 minutes. Really a dangerous situation when most people depend on the news for their safety and the news is telling them that the cell has been stuck over grand rivers when it's actually already over princeton.

     

    • Like 1
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