SnowHole413

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

5.5 here driving to work noticed it was  a bit less in the Springfield  area weird.. guessing we got under a band last night for a little bit..

Yeah I only got 3.8 inches here. I’m about 30 miles north of you

About an inch here

Really banking on February 10th- March 10th. -AO, hopefully -NAO, phase 7/8 will help. I can see most parts of SNE getting around 40 inches in that time period if things break right.

I’m at 18 inches on the year now so another 40 would put me at average or slightly above average for snowfall. 

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

At hour 348, niceeee

Just marked my calendar 

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Silly comment.

On January 24th haha

Stubborn nao is what’s doing us dirty 

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

You won't let that go in the face of all modeling, why? Physically it makes perfect sense with a long fetch off the entire gulf transposed over Arctic air squeezing every PWAT it can. What physical process are you referencing.

I agree with you on this one man. Could be slightly overdone but this thing is hella juiced.

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

50th percentile of all EPS members. Very wet for a 50

I buy it

3 minutes ago, correnjim1 said:

a foot in boston?

It’s all preliminary, don’t take anything to seriously yet

9 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

PV press is my biggest concern

Models will change constantly. At this point Albany could jack or New Bedford. Fasten your seatbelt.

I would love a 4-8 event, definitely not expecting 2 feet at the moment lol

Wow the CMC Buries everyone next weekend. I would kill for that

22 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Yeah, I'm not worried.  Still 10 weeks of winter here and 8+ weeks for you.  Only need 2 or 3.weeks of epic to make it all right. 

I’m actually really excited for January 20th-March 20th. A lot of people in here seem to be sleeping on this winter. 

GEFS look real good after the 18th or so

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Frankly, I wish we had never had the SSW...we would have bee fine without it. It just adds a wild card to what was already an ideal scenario.

I was actually thinking that this morning. I wonder how this season would have progressed so far if the ssw didn’t happen.

However, I still think the ssw will supply us with some NAO and EPO blocking during peak climo in a few weeks.

8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's going to flip constantly, the pattern is chaotic. Models have been flipping like freshly caught tuna. 

Don't understand the melts, in a few weeks it's going to turn awesome. Jan 20-March 15 will be epic.

Cooked tuna

We’re cooked

1/4 system looks good on the 18z GEFS ensembles 

As others have alluded to, this pattern is prone to cutters and here we are. It’s not a pretty sight for the time being.

I like it haha

4 minutes ago, Greg said:

Not sure I agree with some calling this a back ended winter. January and February seems to be right in the middle.  If it was just February to mostly March, I can see that. Otherwise, um "no".

Front half of winter. December 1-January 15th. Back half is January 15th- March 1st. This will end up being a backloaded winter lol

1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

What are you basing that on in regards to snowfall being above normal for the winter? I do not look at it as being a patience issue. As I mentioned some posters are too involved emotionally with the weather. 

It’s a backloaded weak modoki El Niño in a low solar year. SSW is en route and we have had above normal precip since mid summer. It’s coming no doubt 

1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Many posters  have convinced themselves that every winter in SNE is going to feature above normal snowfall and below normal temps. Any dissenting point of view regarding a winter forecast or pattern is quickly dismissed.  Some are too emotionally involved with the weather, something in which they have no control over. 

The thing is this winter will end up above normal for snowfall. Just people on this forum are not patient. They wake up the next morning expecting a huge change in the pattern and it’s not showing up. 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

In a sadistic way, it would be cool to be shut out in December...I mean, if I can't get an inch on xmas eve, then no doubt I will hope for it.

Yeah we don’t need any snow in December this year. I think we both know what’s in store for peak climo