Kbosch

Just now, GansettBay said:

We have about 8 inches here in the SE corner of CT. Lots of QPF but it's very wet and compacted. Definitely not 10:1

That makes a lot of sense. 

8 minutes ago, WeatherX said:

Same here. Incredible maintenance of 30+dbz echoes since just after 11am. Also getting the best gusts of the day here now. What a great day


.

Same on wind. It is a bit less frequent but more ferocious.

Honestly, I think it's the heaviest stuff of the storm right now in BDR land. We've dropped visibility to several hundred feet. Getting more like 2-3" per hour.

I was complaining about OKX going too far with this storm, but I'll end up verifying in their range. Is anyone in SNE outside of the CT coast piling up what we are? It seems like the totals are going to be extremely spotty.

Our ratios are doing everything here. We don't often have this powder. It's a pleasure to shovel some light and fluffy stuff.

3 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Some of the heaviest stuff coming through right now. Will attempt to measure soon.

It's near impossible without constant attempts. One of the most difficult I can remember. We have such powder, for once! 

Ripping. Still SN+, still 1-2" per hour.

It's an interesting storm and extremely steady as she goes for SW CT, which is rare. We usually vacillate in intensity, play frequent games with dry slots and sleet, but this is working out well. Some of the bigger events (like 2011 and the HECSs) we've gone insane and hit 4-6" and even more per hour, up to 8" or so one of those nights. This is staying strong but not crazy at the same rate all day.

7 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

14” in NW CT!?!?  I have not even 1.5”!!!!  

He's very SW. We're all in the same zone, rocking.

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

How much for you? How close are you to the airport?

About 3 miles north and 12-13".

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

9.75" here blizzard criteria met at BDR .

It has been quite an afternoon. CT shore is rocking and it'll still be hard to verify 18-24 in the heaviest BDR HVN to DXR places. At least we have a chance.

A lot of you are going to rock later. It'll get there. Stay away from the toasters.

I hesitate to say what we have. I'd go 9-10 conservatively but it's probably around a foot. Extremely difficult to measure in all areas. A chilly (for us) 28.3.

SN+ continues at about 1" per hour now. 

Continuing SN+ at 27. Crushed and crushed some more. I'll give measuring a whirl in a while. Snow growth has been great.

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

Thats the plan

We're getting crushed. SN+ continues.

SN. 23.4 

All pavement and most (exposed) grass covered. Heavy inbound.

23.1 and I'm impressed with that.

36 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Looks like we will have to wait until that NYC band gets here for sure to start seeing the flakes fly.

Yep, we even lost our virga for now. Next batch looks like the one.

17 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Nothing yet, snow is hitting a wall in Bridgeport at the moment lol

Yes it is haha but you all know this is how it goes, we have to break through a bit. All good.

6 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Here's our running forecast. Best chance for highest totals locally is in W CT I think. I do think a pretty prolonged period of junk with the dry slot south and east of I-84 so a lot of snow grains, freezing drizzle, and sleet. 

 

Seems very reasonable and very smart. Fax that over to "16-24" OKX.

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

I know it's all about where banding sets up and how long etc. However all models cutting back as we close in. 10 to 11 on this is the lowest now. I guess 10 to 15 is now range SW CT.

I think we were always about a foot with the usual overdone QPF. It's all good. Ratios and some luck can kick us up to 18.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Not that much on Tuesday imo.  But we’ll see? 

Agreed. We're certainly rolling on Monday and we'll be wrapped up overnight for anything meaningful.

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah though I do think it’ll add up another 3-6/4-8 Tuesday into Wednesday under the rotting bands/ ULL

9 minutes ago, Mr. Windcredible! said:

Totally agree. They used to be much more conservative 10+ years ago. But more recently they love going balls to the wall and end up busting more often than not. Down this way I feel 12” is out ceiling, I’m think 6-10” shoreline east of HVN. 8-14” for the majority of the state...pocket of 12-18” for the SW/NE corners.

100%. I used to feel they were too conservative, but around the epic HECS run in 10-11, they started going all out way too often. We just don't get these totals with that regularity or ease. We always find a way to sleet and mix or subsidence besides the few obvious special events in the last 20 years.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow Upton is bullish

Yep, they love going one step too far sometimes and making their own clown map. No need to push it beyond 12-18, and more of the east should be 8-12. Too many question marks. It *could* happen, to forecast this is rough.

I hope the GFS looks awful until it's literally snowing. Utterly useless. I'd be worried if it showed a big hit.