Kbosch

Is it crazy to be confident in overachieving rates for some in the heavier bands given our past several weeks? I'd take 6" and dance in the streets for me at BDR, but I feel like there could be some random massive lollis of utter joy and delight for some of you classically placed people. Here's to everyone hopefully cashing in, finally!

I hope you're all alive here. Thinking of your pain. Praying for the best.

Yeah, alright, 30 or 40 up north, fine. But hey, some of our roadway puddles are pretty big! They might take a couple days to fully evaporate. Don't even get me started on how much mud we have. It's okay to be jealous of us.

Melted all the "snow" we had under bright clouds.

March 14 without a big cold high is the big winner here today. What can you do? We're actively melting the trace we received. I wish it was 67 and sunny.

It has been SN to SN+ off and on for hours, and we have some slightly whitened grass to show for it. The timing is brutal. Crushing.

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

21-22 lookin' like an epic winter of yore compared to this 

To think we had about 40" from the Blizzard of 2013, and it is more than my total snow since early 2021, and may not be passed until 2024...

13 minutes ago, Amped said:

The heavy band in SW CT will likely become a death band once it gets into a spot cold enough for snow. 

Edit: This matches the NAM and FV3 hires pretty well.   RGEM and HRRR maybe moving it east to quickly.   Looks determined to push NW at the moment.

There are shockingly promising signs for us SW CT losers tonight. Very intriguing.

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

 

SW CT again! Ridiculous if we actually get in on this...

We're certainly all rain, but colder than I thought we'd be at 37.7 and falling slowly.

The GFS and NAM have indeed given slight hope (I wish I did not have) of actual accumulation.

Even on the NAM, places like BDR won't be snowing hard enough to accumulate anything for a mid-March afternoon. I'm sure it's overdone, we'll slot, and then get some pretty melting flakes to tease the end of this debacle.

This is a disaster, and most definitely one of the worst sagas I've seen. Thoughts and prayers to those who have to make an official forecast.

I had no interest in being burned by this, and I'd gladly take a 3-6" event. I didn't need the 20-24" regardless of how lovely it would be. This winter? I'll take anything. Now? Thanks for the 3-6" of rain.

At least our poor little crocus won't be harmed 

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

BDR at 28/4.  Not exactly imminent 

Make that 28/5! I'd better stay up a bit longer to get one shoveling session out of the way before it's too deep.

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Instead of dealing with data issues on the v16 and FV3, NCEP should commission a team to study why all of its models are so different so close in this winter.  It's not enough to say that each model has its own idiosyncrasies, because garbage in = garbage out.

It feels like more than COVID, luck, and event type...right? 

11 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

#fastflowingtears

Indeed. Widespread.

Sure feels great to have such superb model consistency within 24 hours of an event.

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We tried to tell him 

Tell 'em all again how the banding will set up NW per usual and it'll all end up AWT yesterday. They need the boost.

47 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So what do you mean? You think this is low?

They mean what they said - if there's a 10% chance of those totals occurring, it's the 90th percentile snowfall. In reality the depiction seems more like the actual forecast. The totals for the 90th percentile should be much higher with something like 12-14 having a 10% chance.

Here we go! Back at it for us...

SN. 33.4.

Via OKX. 10 or 12-16, like Ryan's, was the right call, not 18-24 for the entire NYC area. AWT.

BDR hasn't had enough - let's go!  

Very happy for most of you! Well deserved. Go out and soak it in.

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Def not that much i wasnt measuring every hour so not sure. Seymour has 16.0, Bethany 15.8, im at 15.4 as of 9pm.

Those all sound right. It's funny, it feels like we over performed, totally ripped, had a tremendous day...and still most not in the 18-24 from OKX.

I'm probably 17-18". It's tough.

Just now, JC-CT said:

Once the band moves through...

Yeah, though I'm wondering if it will by that point. Whenever it has looked like we were about to lose some punch today we have built more right back in.

4 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Updated map from BOX.  Also, their 4:45 PM AFD didn't issue an updated short term forecast...

Haha, uhhh...BOX, that's our hourly rate and we haven't stopped building yet. We'll see. I realize it's 7pm but it'll need to shut off by 8pm then.