dWave

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Damn DC was under a Winter Storm Warning and only got 0.1.

I saw that too lol. Snow started late, ended early, and was really mild heading preceeding the snow. Temps was slower to drop off than predicted heading into it. They had a long way to go from the 50s during the day. I don't think they got into the heavy snow rates needed.

Around 2" in the Bx on grassy surfaces. Streets are just wet, and just a coating on sidewalks. Trees are absolutely pasted though. Light snow now and 31.

33 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

again I dont get this need to compare this to 97-98, as of now they are equally bad but no one besides you even cares about 97-98 lol

 

97 - 98 was easily worse imo. That year was 0.5" until the late March surprise 5" snowfall..which rapidly melted under the late March sun, followed by 80+ degree days to close out the month.

So there was none of these 1 or 2" events we had earlier. It may not be a lot but it was something and at least coated the ground briefly.  97-98 was the closest thing to a virtual snowless DJF in anyone's memory today. By late March in 98 I was fine with keeping the record low snow season in tact.

11 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

Heat Island, Concrete Jungle, New Puddle City etc.

 

I had no anticipation of acclumation in most of Manhattan south of Central Park anyway. Not unless you get over an inch per hour rates for consecutive hours. Some short bursts from time to time won't cut it.

Eyeballing looks about 4" on grassy surfaces, 6" on tree branches, 0 - 3" on paved surfaces depending how busy of a spot it is. Temp around  32 - 33 is helping compared to forecasts of 34 - 36.

Snow sticking on the road now

33, wet snow with a coating on grassy surfaces/cars, otherwise mainly wet for now

20 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

I disagree that 09-10 is the limit. The global precipitation has been increasing with the warming. I think a more realistic expectation is that the temperature keeps increasing, but the number of bigger storms increases too. That was the trend in the early 2000s through about 2016, then 7-8 years off of it doesn't really break the overall trend imo. 

Look at how much precipitable water we have this year. 

https://ibb.co/NjZ5TZ8

No other year really comes close. 15-16 is #2, at about 80% of the total anomaly. 

I think it's a delicate balance. I suspect it leads to less persistent small to med snow events and snow cover, but more big storms every so often. A few blockbuster storms can push the numbers up but eventually you reach a tipping point where the warmer average temps are too difficult to overcome. Maybe that's what's happened in the DC area where avg snowfall starting falling off while we were rising to a new near 30" avg in Central Park. Meanwhile DCA has dropped to below 15". That tipping point would keep creeping northward I would think. We went to warmer and snowier for a time but the snowier part was a temporary transition?

1 hour ago, Picard said:

Feb 4th - I've got my first of the spring bulbs popping up already.  Our garden out front gets full sun this time of year, and with the lack of snow cover and milder temps, well, let it begin, albeit way too early.

 

I noticed the same thing too yday.

2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

and this is normal in a big el nino-- to get more snow to the south? The same thing happened in 09-10.

 

Yeah..DC over performed these last two events too. Snowiest period in a while there and developed an actual "snowpack" for a change.

0.3" 

2" for the season

3 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Of course we all know that from the observations after 7:00 there had to be at least several tenths of an inch (0.3-0.5 maybe) added to the 1.4 inch storm total at the park but their history is not to add to the total and just ignore it like it never happened.

It will probably be the case again unless someone that cares is measuring at the Park today. The only time they seemed to get somewhat accurate measurements was when they had the Conservatory doing the measurements at the Park several years ago, and that lasted 4-5 years. Not sure why that relationship ended.

I was in Midtown by 8am and it was raining. It's been on and off light rain/freezing rain since. Maybe a little sleet too.  It wouldn't except any more acclumation since then. It is snowing right now though that may add up to something.

High tide Glen Island New Rochelle

Minor to maybe some moderate coastal flooding on the Sound now. Passing through pelham Bay to New Rochelle

Can't lie this couple hours of warmth feels nice. Mostly sunny 61 with dew pt near 60

Just now, tdp146 said:

What’s the rule for a “trace” of snow. I thought I remember someone saying even if it’s not accumulating whatsoever, if there are snowflakes falling, it’s considered a “trace”

Yeah. A trace is unmeasurable snow. A single flurry or heavy snow that's not sticking both are a trace. If you can't measure 0.1" it's a trace.

O snap..mod to heavy wet snow. Slushy coating on grassy surfaces. 34* 

It's been so long lol

Moderate snow 35* white rain for now.

Started mixing with snow, nothing on the ground but a few cars have slush. Temp has fallen to 33.

Drove into snow and cars sliding on the Cross County in Yonkers. Came out of nowhere taking cars by surprise, at least those coming from the east and south. West of the Bronx River you hit slushy roads and mainly snow falling.

15 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

I've never seen this happen though. Usually the sound isn't the atlantic especially unless you are like right up against it. Also I'm  closer to the Hudson than the Sound and having precip type issues so I don't know if it's even about the sound or some other weird phenomenom. 

Doesnt help it's so marginal to begin with.

My theory is it sometimes happens but more like the difference between 5 or 6 inches, but with this its a matter of 1" or nothing so it's more obvious. You're right though its usually doesn't extend very far like it would on the Atlantic side.

I'm told there is some light acclumation in parts of the west half of the Bronx.

4 minutes ago, binbisso said:

Lights snow started about 330 here.  around 4 o'clock switch to rain.

 It's about 75% to 25% rain to snow since then. I'm in Southern Westchester this makes no sense.

Around Southern most Westchester and NE Bronx all I see is rain, moderate at times. I assume if that strong east wind lines up right with the Sound it might as well be JFK here.

1 minute ago, binbisso said:

I'm having a hard time to figure this one out but I'm raining here in Mount Vernon.

I'm in New Rochelle atm and it's light rain and sleet here. I'd say 70/30 in favor of rain. Being close to the Sound doesn't help I'd imagine. I'm about to be heading west through the Bronx so maybe by Kingsbridge or Riverdale I'll see some flakes.

Drizzle and a few flurries once in a while on Glen Island, New Rochelle

16 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

New York City's second warmest December on record is concluding. Blossoms can be found in parts of the New York Botanical Garden. 

I've recently noticed streets with cherry blossoms blooming around Morris Park and Pelham Pkwy