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wildwestpb

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About wildwestpb

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KOKC
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Oklahoma
  1. First severe warned popped up in SW Oklahoma in the PDS Watch - BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 119 PM CDT THU MAY 18 2017 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Western Jackson County in southwestern Oklahoma... Western Kiowa County in southwestern Oklahoma... Greer County in southwestern Oklahoma... Southeastern Harmon County in southwestern Oklahoma... Northwestern Hardeman County in northern Texas... * Until 215 PM CDT * At 119 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of Gould, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Mangum, Granite, Eldorado, Gould, Duke, Brinkman, Hester, Altus-Lugert Lake and McQueen.
  2. Currently, SPC has the outlined area for Friday the southern half of Oklahoma (basically I-40 south nearly border to border) and all of North Texas from just west of Vernon TX, over to the ArkLaTex, and just north of DFW. Per the AFDs this morning from both OUN and TSA - they believe the best/most likely threat for severe weather will be around the Red River Valley and to areas south. This will likely change somewhat as we get closer to the event, but this has been a fairly steady forecast from both offices for a few days now. We'll know a little better come tomorrow and Thursday I suppose. OUN AFD - As for severe storms, Friday, the impact of the ongoing convection through the morning hours will have an obvious impact on where, if any, suitable warm sector will reside and the potential for severe thunderstorms. At present, given the various solutions, it appears some recovery may occur along and near the Red River Valley, including far southern Oklahoma into north Texas, with storms primarily developing along the front as it advances south/southeast overnight into early Saturday. TSA AFD - The frontal boundary will stall near the Red River Thursday night and Friday as a potent upper system dives southeast from the northern Rockies into the southern Plains. The severe weather risk across our area does not appear overly high (upper low dig, nothing big rule in place), especially if the favored ECMWF/UKMET verify, with heavy rainfall and potential flooding being the greatest concern, particularly across the northern half of our forecast area. A wide range of temperatures will likely exist Friday, with areas near the Kansas border struggling to reach 60, while far southeast Oklahoma near the stalled frontal boundary may approach 80.
  3. It was real. Multiple reports and photos from the area around Minco/Amber/Pocasset. They were spin ups associated with the cold front.
  4. 80/60 Tornado watch just issued - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0214.html
  5. OUN is deviating from the SPC current forecast, maybe it's what SPC will put out at their 1730z outlook. - https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/735852659194748928
  6. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/publications/edwards/defpaper.pdf Current commonly accepted definition of a tornado outbreak is 6-9 for a small outbreak, and increasing from there in magnitude and/or amount - however there is no official definition from the SPC or NWS as to what constitutes a tornado outbreak.
  7. No, he's calling for a severe thunderstorm AND tornado outbreak. Likely there will be a surplus of wind and especially hail reports that meet severe criteria as well as enough of them to be classified as an outbreak, whereas all it takes to get a tornado outbreak could be 6-9 tornadoes that day. That seems reasonable given the time of year and the setup it has to work with.
  8. Wow - https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/730089712703049728
  9. https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/730069357523410944
  10. It's going to depend on the buildings it damaged or destroyed, and their structural integrity as to what the final rating will be. Remember, just a few weeks back the Fletcher & Ninnekah tornadoes were only rated EF1s, and the El Reno had to be rated an EF3 because of the new scale.
  11. There may be a cell trying to get started SW of Tulsa metro, but right now it is just weak radar returns. http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weather/radar/KINX
  12. In case you know someone that relies on the NOAA Weather Radio alerts - https://www.facebook.com/NWSNorman/posts/1121604447860481
  13. That cell is traveling ENE currently. If it stays on its heading, it will come into Norman/Purcell area.
  14. https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/726082455476686848
  15. Damage and debris pattern, think blood splatter for a forensic investigator, plus damage done to structures that correspond with real world testing that has been conducted in the NSSL.