JMT417

Upgrade to Moderate Day One Risk for Kansas

Enhanced risk and 10% tor probabilities pushed west to Joplin with 11:30 SPC update 

Not necessarily Central/Western states but weather related tragic incident associated with today’s storms 

In addition to tracking toward Memphis, there are several large casinos in Tunica

12 minutes ago, CryHavoc said:

First PDS watch is now active.

95/90 probabilities 

SPC buying in with a Moderate Risk for Western OK. Also wind driven Enhanced Risk expands Eastward 

Latest GFS backing off quite a bit from prior runs

Upgrade to WSW for Joplin

Joplin getting a Winter Weather Advisory Springfield and Branson a Winter Storm Warning 

WSW for South Central MO

6 minutes ago, JoMo said:

Springfield's morning AFD mentioned ratios of 16-17 to 1. 

I think that is what may have contributed to issuing a Winter Storm Warning rather than a Winter Weather Advisory 

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yes we are sure, see Hurrtracks feed Mark Sudduth

I know the owner of that Twitter account. He goes through great lengths to verify before he posts. 

3 hours ago, JoMo said:

I look at it like it's the last time since it's so late in the season. Anything else is just bonus. Haven't really looked into things a month off though. 

I checked with the man upstairs. He said this is our once every 5-7 year snowfall that he is contractually obligated to provide. He said it’s on to severe weather season now. 

Rolling power blackouts now instituted in Springfield Mo. 

18 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

3K Nam 

 

Branson gets hit pretty hard on this one. 

1 hour ago, MUWX said:

euro is close to a pretty significant ice storm in swmo 

We could do without that.

1 hour ago, JoMo said:

Takes me back to my school years where 0.5 degrees is the difference between a snow day and having to go to school. Waking up to 6" of snow on the first day of Spring when nothing but rain was forecast, and waking up to rain and 33 when snow was forecast.

 

Days like that earned Lee George his reputation 

SGF says an all rain event now

SGF now including Springfield and Joplin in WWA. 

Initiation to the South of Bartlesville OK ?

Camp Shelby in the path I believe

Big TDS

Large upgrade area in new Day 2 outlook

2 hours ago, JoMo said:

Anyone got any toilet paper? This is crazy.