dseagull
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About dseagull
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Duration under gradient. Thankfully, neap tides. Its bad, but ive been here for many decades, my entire life. I still havd visual tide guages from 40 years ago. Id love to blame my areas back bay flooding on sea level rise, but thats not the case. There have been tremendous man-made changes to the inlet and surrounding areas that are almost certainly responsible. To each their own.
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It's been a F'n day.... will share pictures tomorrow of what really happened on Barnegat Bay. It was a good one....
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And like I thought, boats are breaking free and sinking. This storm may not break any records or be remembered for long, but a significant amount of damage was done, considering tens of thousands of boats were still in the water.
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Ill fix my post.... I understand its a gradient squeeze. Trust me, I do. Apologies, im about to watch many neighborhoods get exceptionally wet here, as this system doesnt necessarily deepen, but the net results worsen. If I didnt look at the surface map you posted, id describe an incredibly different situation.
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I am a bit of a radiohead. I have 3 scanners going with trunked talk groups on custom settings. All of ocean county towns have too many calls for me to keep up with. Trees falling and lines arching are the most frequent. This thing is NOT bombing out (thanks, Omega,) but the net results of the gradient squeeze are impressive. Updated to reflect reality of surface maps, dated or not.
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Low tide, video above.
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Ill make the claim now.... this is going to overperform on the mainland of barnegat bay. We have very strong sustained winds with frequent gusts over 50 now. The water began rising before low tide was reached, and its going to be a long night ahead until the 4AM high tide. Many boats will likely succumb to this storm, sadly... Then, my work begins. Brutal.
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Of course I do, and tog into January. But im more or less off the water for both jobs from mid January until mid March.
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Yup, thats a large part of it. In any case, a low to mid range moderate event would be a blessing for those of us on the water. One less headache to deal with. Im ready for winter and my 2 months off of work.
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Winds have actually relaxed somewhat here. I expected a higher push than we have recieved for this approaching high tide. Beginning to think that this storm may not break the 2.67 we received on August 21st, when Erin passed by farrrrr offshore.
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Thanks. Im directly behind Barnegat Inlet in waretown, on the Bayfront. The last squall that came through dropped heavy rain and we had several gusts over 45. I imagine Harvey Cedars highest gust may increase shortly. Somebody certainly will have 60-65 soon. The water level chart is what most of us on the water will have our eyes glued to over the next 36 hours.
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They are "professionals," but I still try to keep people like this at arm's length. Hey, it's a free country, but I cant promise my response will be timely if they find themselves in a precarious/dangerous situation.
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3 hours til high tide on my part of barnegat bay. Lower roads are already all caving quickly. This may overperform. Im getting consistent gusts to 45 now in this band. If this intensity is consistent until tomorrow's high around 4PM, we may have significant flooding damage in the 2nd flood zone tier for our town. This would affect nearly 400 homes that were not raised after Sandy.
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