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(Word of the day: "concerned")

Newb question:

If this NW trend is very predictable by humans, why isn't it predictable by models?

Thanks for responses. I've mentioned it before, but even in my ignorance, the people who only post negative posts stand out just as much as the people who only post positive ones, and I tend to be more invested in the ones who are clearly taking a more rounded approach. Not that anyone cares what I'm invested in, I'm just always interested in how the cultures of different message board forums work. (Although this is literally the only one I'm on where I have nothing to contribute other than random meta commentary, or "yep no power near Southpoint mall" during Matthew.)

(P.s., mackerel_sky, I particularly like the way you're always cheerful even when it's bad news, and I'm glad the tornado didn't cause you major problems.)

(Oh, and man, meteorology hobby culture is such a crazy mix of science and superstition! It reminds me of the brief time I spent on some vegas gambling forums! I totally understand why it's like that, especially in this area. I've seen the snow shield in action.)


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It's hilarious how offended Brick gets when anyone brings up possible temp issues or precip issues or track issues.

Legit question from the uninformed, does the "BL temps suck!" guy have a valid point? I can't tell (due to met ignorance) but my long-honed message board spidey sense says troll?


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1 hour ago, Cold Rain said:

Yes indeed.  Those are my two favorites.  Did you like Rogue One?

No one asked me, but I loved it. For western Triangle peeps, tomorrow (Thu) looks to be the last night it's playing at the Silverspot. Going for an encore.

26 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

I'm confident that we might get 1"-2" out of this. Not quite sold yet that we can get more that 4".

 

Current trend:

"I really like the GFS right now. It's been very consistent. I've always been a fan of it," says the guy from Atlanta.  "The Euro has been so consistent. Such a great model. I expect it to verify," says the guy from Newport News.

As if any of us have a clue.

 

(The shifting meta-commentary is almost as amusing as the shifting primary convo.) 

Thanks guys. I appreciate the answers and I'll hush back up now. 

(I gotta quit this hobby--don't even have the technical foundation, so the ups and downs suck but are also often obfuscated due to my lack of knowledge. It's a unique torture!)

Sorry, lurker non-met and I usually keep my posts to a minimum. However, tonight's posts are more cryptic than usual but tone seems pretty negative. Did we lose the storm for now?

(Figured this would be okay in cliff diver thread.)


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Just now, rjtysinger said:

My apologies to you.  I guess I did misinterpret what you we're trying to say!

Yep, I'm the lurker! And I really do need the timestamps! (It was hardly even sarcastic, mostly poking fun at my lack of met knowledge, I only know things are happening when the postings go nuts!)

2 minutes ago, rjtysinger said:

Just because I don't pad my post count with fluff because I prefer to sit back and read and observe I guess that makes an observation null.  Sorry to be on your board .  

You literally could not have misread the tone of my post any more than this. Please give it a re-read and don't look for hostility where there isn't any.

12 minutes ago, rjtysinger said:

Yes  same thing here!

Yep, as a lurker how I am supposed to tell how urgent each post is without a dang timestamp?