kingbaus

This run isn't going to do it I think.

What does the 6z euro say?

RGEM looks amped.

Snow spreading into the metro area at hour 54.

We might get clocked.

I have to say Nam look a bit better so far. Then again it look terrible at 18z.

Looks lovely 20"-30" for the Jersey shore.

Pick the right time to be up. I think I'll hit 6".

Got to be over a inch in Middletown NJ coming down good.

NAM looks nice.

Curious what 18z Euro said.

I'm assuming the convection offshore might be coming less of a issue leading to higher snowfall amounts the past few hours.

I keep on hearing about this convection robbing this systems full potential. What happens if it doesn't show up tonight.

Just now, Snow88 said:

I agree

I dont know why people always downplay  during a storm.

HRRR agrees with you guys.

Euro looks good for NJ, NYC, and long island

Just now, Snow88 said:

Not as good for who?

The banding looked stronger and more organized for the area. Still a good hit for the 0z though. 

19 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Just saw the whole run

6+ for NYC  west with some 10 inch marks in North NJ.

Not as good as the 18z though. Looks like it's going to be nowcasting time.

I don't how accurate the hrdps is but it looks good for all areas.

1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

Hrdps has several inches for NYC  with more just to the west.

More than that from the looks of it. Good banding from the parkway east.

4 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

Because if we analyze every 2-5 inch snowstorm for 46+ pages, this is going to be an exhausting winter. This was always a tricky storm, but never really had an 'epic' side to it. When the primary low heads to the west of Buffalo, we usually have very difficult time getting these to pan out. There are legit severe thunderstorm warnings in western PA. When that happens, it usually causes me to really question what we will get. So far it seems the models are having a difficult time too. 

BINGO. I invested a ton of time to this storm and only to get 1 to 4 inches is very disappointing.

Rgem comes out soon let's see if the nam is onto something.

Yeah I don't know why people like worshiping the clown maps for they suck.

3k NAM looks good for Jersey.

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

Lol

Most of Central Jersey gets shafted. Bad run

Nam looks like crap for a good chunk of Jersey.