CranberryWX

Lol....typical.

Snowing in Canonsburg. I'm calling an early out.

8 minutes ago, jwilson said:

 

I can't think of any examples off the top of my head, but I'd be curious if anyone has recollection of a storm where the propagation of the warm tongue stopped between Morgantown and Pittsburgh.  Perhaps say as far north as Washington.

I can remember several times in the 70's having school cancelled and going out in the morning to shovel 8" of snow with rain falling.  This was in central Armstrong county.  A couple of back-to-back 12" plus storms the same week in January 1978 were all snow where I was and the north hills area.  That would be something to look at to see how far south the snow line was and how those storms developed.

PIT updated AFD long term says "it appears this low may track farther south allowing less warmer air to get pulled into the region and keeping more precipitation as snow". 

Lows don't run up the spine of the Apps.  This doesn't look right to my untrained eye.  There is no transfer of energy to the coast.

1 hour ago, blackngoldrules said:

I'm pretty much already accepting that the WTOD is going to get us once again. Showing all the signs of that. If I get pleasantly surprised, then great. Not holding my breath since, like you said, this has happened so often to us.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk
 

It's a given for this area.  It's just the way storms track through here and the topography.  Rarely do we get the perfect scenario depicted on the early model runs.  I feel it has to be a pretty wrapped up low to keep the low level warmth at bay, and a really good supply of cold air in place before the low approaches.

With the parade of storms in the models, I hope this ends like another January 1978.

Perfeçt time of the day to maximize snow accumulations if the timing holds true.

3 hours ago, MikeB_01 said:

The official is no different from my reading last night (2.5"). Since  I signed up for CoCoRaHS, I was able to get my melted equivalent which was .18"

Was that you who reported 2.5" of rain/melted snow....rookie mistake lol.  Remember the total includes the melted equivalent.  The actual physical snow measurement goes down below in the new snow box.  I know it's confusing at first.  Thanks for signing up.

2.6" - 0.14" melted equivalent.  Most of the snow fell between 5 and 9 PM.  This was a perfect evening snowfall watching it fall outside the restaurant windows while eating and driving home on snow covered streets.  A few folks still had their Christmas lights on too adding to the glow.

Any farther north and we would probably have been mixing in rain, lol.  

Weekend after next is a teaser too.   Plenty of Time for it to shift south.

Steady light snow at the house when I left this morning right at freezing.  Deck and grass are coated, side roads were covered in Cranberry, 79 was just wet.  Nothing in Canonsburg.

23 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said:

I got the Weather Flow sky and air. Super happy with them so far. They don’t spin or have tipping buckets, so it is a little challenging to tell the accuracy of them so early on. What is nice about them is the fact that the company is constantly pushing improvements to the system. So they only get better.

Here is the link for you guys to check out my data if you want to http:// https://smartweather.weatherflow.com/share/6001


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That is really cool.  I like the way your data is displayed on their interface.  It looks like you push out to WU also.  Good job!  You should setup a CWOP station ID.  I think NOAA/NWS uses this data more so than WU.  I've seen PIT mention my CWOP data in their local reports along with my CoCoRAHS reports.

While on the subject of data, all you guys should try to signup with CoCoRAHS, if you already are not.  I've been sending in daily reports since 2009.  It's become part of my daily morning routine and it provides a valuable service for the NWS.

1 hour ago, MikeB_01 said:

Peak wind gust at my house (with the new weather flow station) was 23.8 mph. Seems low to me, but the system is said to still be calibrating itself. I also might need to change its set up a little bit. I have it on a PVC pipe and is secured, but does give way slightly when pushed. I’ve been trying to compare to stations around to see how accurate my station is


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My Davis VP2 showed a peak gust of 17 at 7:37pm.  I don't have it mounted very high and close to the house.   I have a remote transmitter for detaching it from the main unit.  I intend to mount it on a pole farther away from the house this Spring.

My deck furniture flipped over so I know it was higher than that.   What station did you get?

My brother over by Kittanning reported several inches of hail when the first batch came through.

Looks like Virginia gets it again....and no really cold air in sight.  Next week looks to be average or slightly above.

Agree with all the above comments..there was a lot of chatter in early/mid December from the "cold" folks, JB one of them, that the cold was coming around the end of the year.  Well here we are and nothing appears to be on the horizon.   What's not good is they have gone a little quiet.

GFS keeps teasing us 2 weeks out.

19 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

At 4:35 pm, daily rainfall at Pittsburgh reached 0.34". That brings total precipitation for 2018 to 57.42". As a result, 2018 has surpassed 2004 when 57.41" precipitation was recorded to become Pittsburgh's wettest year on record.

Earlier today, 2018 surpassed 2011 when 68.02" precipitation fell at Louisville, KY, to become that City's wettest year on record.

My backyard has been mushy and wet most of the year.   My CoCoRAHS observations total for 2018 was 58.37".

8-14 Day temperature outlook doesn't look promising for below normal cold and it's getting into the time frame where we should get our best chance.  GFS shows a cold plunge at the end of its run, but it's far out.

On 12/17/2018 at 6:33 AM, MikeB_01 said:

A Christmas Torch... 

Interesting contrast because there is lot of chatter today about a much below normal temp run developing at the end of this month extending into January for the eastern half of US.  Weatherbell says coldest extreme period will be Jan 15 to Feb 15th.   Washington Post has an article today about the "looming" Polar Vortex for January.

On 12/11/2018 at 4:06 PM, MikeB_01 said:

You can call this "Fantasyland" all you want, but there is probably some validity to this. The longer range models have been hinting at a pattern change around Christmas time. Maybe Santa brings us this storm at the right time. Let's hope! 

It continues to be there after several more runs...just in time for Santa's sleigh ride too.  Believe!

12z GFS has a Christmas Day snow storm, yay!   Lol.

I ended up with 2.5" of snow.  This snow was very juicy with melted equivalent of 0.31", that's about an 8 to 1 ratio.  Total precip including melted snow was 1.05".  Temperature ranged 33 to 32 in the 24 hour period.   Now our electric is going off and on occasionally with the light wind picking up.

1.0" of snow and still coming down pretty hard.  Wife said local roads were covered when she came home 30 minutes ago.