haudidoody

Wind is roaring in a sustained fashion... watching my neighbor's dead trees aimed at my house.

Moderate rain... and some serious wind gusts. Come on dry slot. Clear this out.

3 inches to end the snow here in Fairfax. Sleet has started as the radar shows.

Flurries in Fairfax.

Ended with an average of just over 10 inches south side of Fairfax area. Pretty consistent with this part of the county.

Significant ice on the trees in Fairfax, pines are drooping quite a bit. This winter really has been unbetter than nothing. Ice and sleet and continuous cold, and almost no snow.

Mostly light rain/drizzle in Fairfax, was a dusting of sleet.

19 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Is it sad that this doesn't even register to me as an enormous bust? I mean people on here are calling it an all time area wide bust but seems pretty standard to me, maybe even better than most busts in this area.

Honestly I don't personally consider this a bust at all. Just because some group predicts significant snowfall doesn't mean it is a likely outcome. Organizations that forecast weather do what they do for whatever reason, but there was never going back a week a high likelihood of significant snow around DC. Never.

16 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Pretty much every day is 50 or above in D.C after the 22nd on TWC

Which is average for late February?

Still sleet in Fairfax, although under the orange returns seeing the cooling aloft happen in real time with clumpy sleet and even a few flakes making it down.

We need sustained orange to get there, guess we have a chance in the last couple hours based on radar.

43 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

You definitely need to have that tree removed. Pines are notoriously shallow rooted and can come down at any moment.

For sure, it's number 50 on my list of 100 things that needed to get done on this old house since I bought it. I'm hoping given its age it's been through this before.

10 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said:

Ice for me could be really bad this go around 

I'm sweating at the moment. I expect little snow as this setup doesn't support significant snow at DC's latitude, but have an 80 foot pine bent about 35 degrees with the entire crown past vertical hanging toward my house. I'm hoping this is mostly sleet, like the last storm, but definitely very nervous. Of course this would be the year we get ice.

I'd appreciate some sun at some point... getting to be pretty miserable. Another cold and dreary day.

Getting needle/column like ice now with the sleet in Fairfax.

Icier sleet now in Fairfax, maybe we can get some snow at some point with heavier rates. 

90% sleet still in Fairfax. Hopefully the freezing rain stays away... forever.

59 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

you don't want free hardwood?

Not when it's presented in my dining room, no.

Rooting hard against any ice, especially given condition of a few bent pines around my house.

I'm on a four bust streak here, happy for a fifth.

45 minutes ago, ovechkin said:

I think this winter has really highlighted what really has been going on in and around the beltway for a couple of years now. We are simply damn warm. Every season. Pattern doesn’t matter.  Last 2 summers DCA is popping 90-91 when closeby places (even south) are mid 80s. We blow by forcasted highs regularly and bust way high on lows in all seasons. I’m not talking “normal,” just compared to that day’s forecast. I can’t think of a day where we ended up lower than predicted (save for the smoke days last September.)Clear nights with light north winds and DCA stays with a steady temp for hours. But full clouds in December with no sun angle? We pop 5 degrees above predicted. Yes, purely anecdotal, but we are just damn warm.  Tracking, trying to understand boundry layers etc... all fine and dandy. It’s also been pretty irrelevant.  Yes, spoken like a dumb novice I am sure. But that is really the only observation right now. 

Besides for it being 36 at DCA at 9am... whicb is our forcased high for the day. 

Honestly, nothing unexpected with these storms given history. I lived not far from DCA for 15 years starting in the early 2000s and what you're describing is SOP. And the orientation and track of storms this year has not been good for areas around and below DCA's latitude. It's not just BL temps that have been poor, the upper levels haven't worked out either. We're not doing any better out here in Fairfax.

We had less than DCA here for this one... about 0.1" at best.

Mix of snow and sleety rain but the trees are just wet so remains above freezing at surface in Fairfax.

1 hour ago, Warm Nose said:

Cue the inevitable bashing of the models since they weren't verbatim and trends went the wrong way for this sub ...

Trends always go the wrong way for the DC area, it's not really a question of verbatim or not. But I would agree that the models aren't the problem. In my personal opinion, the problem is the forecast office personnel who keep putting out unrealistic short-term forecasts. Busting low consistently for years means something isn't working right.

Kids came by and asked if they could clear my driveway!?

Know your climo, use your experience, and keep your mouth shut.

1" here but melting fast, currently light snow.

Snowing very lightly in Fairfax, have about 4 inches total.

Light snow picking up again hopefully get an inch or so. I see my hometown in NJ is passing 26" already with a ton more to come. May be an all timer there.

Even down here in Fairfax flakes are mixing in with the sleet when showers pass through. It's a mix of big flakes and sleet right now. But only very light off and on.