apm

3 minutes ago, DFRI said:

The "10% chance of higher" is lower than the "expected" (for RI)

Different time periods...

We had 5" in Cambridge, ma.

21 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I have 12.5 as of 5 minutes ago.   Let’s see if we can make hay while the sun shines.

Are you sure? I have 16.5" depth in Cambridge (and I measured multiple places).

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Light snow.  Subsidence happens.  Should end up good though (12+).

Jerry, are you confusing small flakes with light rates? It's the same here in Cambridge, but the visibility is still low (fog like) and it's piling up.  10.5"

26 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Wow ACK down to 32Fwith pounding snow and 53mph sustained.

How high did they get sustained in Nor'easter #1?

The LP and EPS did tick east again though (precip shield notwithstanding)  hopefully this trend stops here.

1 hour ago, WxReese said:

The forecasts from the GFS, CMC, and EURO have been fairly consistent thus far. The real test comes the next day or two when the CMC has Maria flirting with the Turks and Caicos while the GFS and EURO keep it well east of them. We'd have to see a rather significant shift west tonight for the CMC's forecasts to verify. 

GFS: 

EURO

CMC: 

Great post.  Normally one wouldn't give a second thought to the CMC here, but...the last few recon fixes, as they have been all day long, are well to the west of the forecast path.

Last few recon center fixes are already slightly west of forecast track.