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Winter Weather Expert Paul Kocin, Jack Beven from the NHC joins AmWx Conference II
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Guess when the Ohio Valley will get a widespread 4 inch snowfall
Started By
Nic
, 13 Feb 2012 07:55 PM
#1
Posted 13 February 2012 - 07:55 PM
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#2
Posted 13 February 2012 - 08:07 PM
Donator
January 2015
#5
Posted 13 February 2012 - 08:13 PM
AppsRunner, on 13 February 2012 - 08:09 PM, said:
I was going with never, since the world is ending in 10 months
They'll be survivors. You know, the ones that are burrowing themselves 100 feet deep into the ground or whatever.
#6
Posted 13 February 2012 - 08:31 PM
Not this winter. The early rough prospects for next winter aren't any better.
#11
Posted 13 February 2012 - 09:10 PM
Chicago Storm, on 13 February 2012 - 09:06 PM, said:
after you're 5 posted.
haha yes
#12
Posted 13 February 2012 - 09:52 PM
cyclone77, on 13 February 2012 - 08:12 PM, said:
No May option?
May 2015.
#13
Posted 13 February 2012 - 10:03 PM
Powerball, on 13 February 2012 - 09:52 PM, said:
May 2015.
Haha.
Who knows, maybe it's just around the corner. Still gotta believe we'll see at least one big event somewhere before this season's out.
#18
Posted 14 February 2012 - 08:06 AM
Stebo48858, on 13 February 2012 - 08:31 PM, said:
Not this winter. The early rough prospects for next winter aren't any better.
#19
Posted 14 February 2012 - 02:57 PM
pondo1000, on 14 February 2012 - 08:06 AM, said:
Based on what?
#20
Posted 14 February 2012 - 04:21 PM
Stebo48858, on 14 February 2012 - 02:57 PM, said:
Potential El Nino.
#21
Posted 14 February 2012 - 04:24 PM
Stebo48858, on 14 February 2012 - 02:57 PM, said:
Potential El Nino.
I don't see how it could get any worse then this winter, well so far.
#23
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:23 PM
18z GFS has a noreaster 114 hr out. I wonder how long it will be before the JB tweets start. lol
#24
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:36 PM
Stebo48858, on 14 February 2012 - 02:57 PM, said:
Potential El Nino.
I guess it would partly depend on how strong a Nino gets (and as we saw previously there are others factors that can mitigate the warmth). IIRC, ENSO neutral winters coming off of a Nina or Nino tend to stink but I can't remember which.
#25
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:36 PM
AppsRunner, on 14 February 2012 - 04:47 PM, said:
Revising my previous call, now going with February 30th. If not, than January 11th, 2013
February 30th...lol
#26
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:38 PM
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Hoosier, on 14 February 2012 - 05:36 PM, said:
I guess it would partly depend on how strong a Nino gets (and as we saw previously there are others factors that can mitigate the warmth). IIRC, ENSO neutral winters coming off of a Nina or Nino tend to stink but I can't remember which.
Yeah, neutral winters after La Nina's can stink(see 2001-2). A nice weak El Nino probably would have alot of potential including ramping up the stj.
#27
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:46 PM
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- Joined November 13, 2010
Nic, on 14 February 2012 - 05:23 PM, said:
18z GFS has a noreaster 114 hr out. I wonder how long it will be before the JB tweets start. lol
Hopefully the rain bands make it up your way.
#28
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:48 PM
Stebo48858, on 14 February 2012 - 02:57 PM, said:
Potential El Nino.
#29
Posted 14 February 2012 - 05:48 PM
Angrysummons, on 14 February 2012 - 05:38 PM, said:
Yeah, neutral winters after La Nina's can stink(see 2001-2). A nice weak El Nino probably would have alot of potential including ramping up the stj.
If next year is a Nina then lets hope its like 75-76. Nice start to that Winter. Certainly the best Nina winter of the three. Toronto got about 67".
But yeah a Weak El Nino would be fairly sick. A decent -AO with a slightly negative NAO and neutral-slightly positive PNA would be golden for our region.
#30
Posted 14 February 2012 - 06:01 PM
Here's a composite of a neutral ENSO following a La Nina Winter.
Neutral ENSO.png 14.35K
0 downloads
IMO I dont think Neutral is best preferred lol.
Snowfall wise, here's Toronto;
2001-02: 76cm or 29.9"
1996-97: 174.4cm or 68.7"
1985-86: 115cm or 45.3" (near avg)
1989-90: 127cm 50" (avg)
total avg: 123.1cm or 48.5"
Not the best avg. 1989-90 started good in December, the rest was crap.
Weak El Nino or another La Nina IMO...no neutral plz lol.
Neutral ENSO.png 14.35K
0 downloadsIMO I dont think Neutral is best preferred lol.
Snowfall wise, here's Toronto;
2001-02: 76cm or 29.9"
1996-97: 174.4cm or 68.7"
1985-86: 115cm or 45.3" (near avg)
1989-90: 127cm 50" (avg)
total avg: 123.1cm or 48.5"
Not the best avg. 1989-90 started good in December, the rest was crap.
Weak El Nino or another La Nina IMO...no neutral plz lol.
#31
Posted 14 February 2012 - 06:37 PM
BeastFromtheEast, on 14 February 2012 - 05:48 PM, said:
El Nino does not equal Bad winter..
#33
Posted 14 February 2012 - 08:01 PM
Stebo48858, on 14 February 2012 - 06:37 PM, said:
In the Midwest they do... the stronger the badder they are. Trust me I'd take a La Nina over an El Nino for a winter.
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