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Started this so we can start looking ahead. Modeling has been pretty good on events 7-10 days in advance, just the ptype and latitude of max amounts had been uncertain. Heading into mud season for the countryside, do we see more piling on of the snow, as statistically suggested by Don's February daily posts. If so, can flooding eventually follow over the interior in the still weak (ening) Nina base state.
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Went to the Blue Ridge Parkway one week ago. Did the section from Asheville to Boone. Beautiful area. Peak was at 4,500' near Asheville and about 3,500 near Boone. This is going to rival the latest leaf change I have seen. Much, much later than last year.
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Conflicting signs this morning. The first week or so looks chilly, but that could be centered over the Lakes and midwest and struggle to reach the east coast. Looks like a massive cutter around April 1, with big severe outbreak for New England, and then maybe a few days of calling behind it. Gibbs says most of the cold stays to our west and there's no risk of snow with -PNA pattern. Other circles says ridging in Greenland and it screams cold in Se Canada and backdoors..which i don't think anyone here wants. Hopefully things become clearer over the coming days. Either way..after about the 10th long range stuff signaling big warmth.
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NAM cross-section for Thursday afternoon from just south of Philly to about Greenville, Maine
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Went ahead and began a Fall banter thread. So, banter away....and may the force be with you.
