Randy4Confluence

6 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I think So Cal is actually doing ok precip wise? The flow has been such where Nrn CA is screwed, but srn CA has done ok. 

Yes SoCal did very well in late November and December and got way ahead of their average early and have had other s/ws that we've missed out on so they are better off than us here in N. Cal this year. 

6 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Almost all their snow fell before New Years . They began the year cranking in November/December 

looks like an all time least snowy period from New Years to now . At the 10K summit at mammoth ...13” Freaking inches and NONE this month . That is unheard of 

They did 200” plus in February alone last year 

Yes, February has been the absolute worst month with not a drop of nothin'  all month. And on top of that,  we've also had several  dry wind events ( Santa Anna!) this month which is drying the plant life right down to their roots, so this potentially makes fire season start earlier. 

What weather enthusiasts hope and pray for with all their hearts around here are "Atmospheric River" events...basically a sub-tropical weather system off the Pacific that brings feet of snow to places like the Sierra Mtns and Mammoth mountains.  

Anyhow, hopefully things improve  in March which isn't hard to do considering how bad it's been this month. 

Cali having a winter to forget also with bone dry Jan/Feb. Unless March is different, you'll be seeing lots of fires on TV again. Edit: SoCal isn't as BD off this year as NorCal so if things keep up this way, NorCal could have real problems with fire season.

Or just forget about models and the storm and move to California where your hiny is on fire and you won't see even a cloud for 6 months let alone rain! Just think, no more hopes being dashed to pieces, 384 fantasy storms, and living model run to model run lol. 

Man we can't get rid of this damn resilliant ridging here ( CA). The LR showed some sign of it finally breaking around November 10th or so, but today took that all away.  

I'm sure this is good news for you. 

3rd year in a row of never ending fire season. I really get sick of the sun at this point. Man I miss normal 4 seasons. 

Just bitching ..thanks for reading. 

Still stuck in the 50's? What's taking you so long! Not missing  Mass. "Spring" at all. 

4th Quarter comeback.

Anyone remember '06/'07 in SNE? I recall that being really horrible up until Valentines Day when we had a nice SWFE  ( Snow and ice in Dedham).  Then on St Pattys Day there was another nice storm. 

Any signs of -NAO in the weeklies. Seems that's the missing piece right now. 

On 1/21/2019 at 8:02 PM, weathafella said:

Siberian night.  Snowing lightly all evening (watch the Logan guy throw in some make up number...lol), temps very bitter, glacial landscape....too cold for man or beast!

Sweet!  Been a long time coming for you guys.  I'm a little worried about the storm track, but a -NAO would theoretically take care of that. Either way that's a nice base you have cemented in YBY. I'm sure you only build on that. 

41 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Siberian night.  Snowing lightly all evening (watch the Logan guy throw in some make up number...lol), temps very bitter, glacial landscape....too cold for man or beast!

Sweet!  Been a long time coming for you guys.  I'm a little worried about the storm track, but a -NAO would theoretically take care of that. Either way that's a nice base you have cemented in YBY. I'm sure you only build on that. 

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Ripping pretty good here...much better SNE growth 

Are you up to 2" yet you think?

Being on the West Coast now, I don't have to stay up 'till 1:00AM to catch the Euro 

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My point was not be invested in a CMC day 9 prog, but rather the plethora of longer range indicators that it is congruent with.

 

Hi. Wasn't sure,  did your LR forecast include X-treme cold. Looks to me that's coming to a theatre near you as well. The GFS is really locking in some snot-freezing cold in the 10+ day!  Good luck on your KU. Hard to imagine you not having anything OTG before we enter Feb. 

Seems that the GFS is locking in on the PNA rising and part of the PV making a move south @ around the 22nd or so. 

What a beauty! 

33 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I just remember leaving to move to LA in mid November 1976 after a series of decent but often frustrating winters.   My first years there all hell breaks loose here.   We all have life disappointments-stuff we didn’t do or stuff we shouldn’t have done.  I will go to my grave with the sting of Great blizzard of 1978.

This makes me realize that I'm fortunate to take with me to California  Feb 2015, winter '13-'14, winter '02-'03, and countless isolated events outside of these periods. Been there and done that. And so it helps me join in embracing the warmth. Although this year's "Winter" has been warmer than I'd like it ( We've been running estimating  10 above normal this year).

Otherwise, I would have fealt how you did in LA during those years probably. 

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

EPS shows that.  We snow on Sunday and a warmer solution a couple of days later.

Are we talking like a fun sized storm (1-3") or something more moderate on the EPS? 

5 hours ago, weathafella said:

System around the 31st could be 

What does the Euro show?

15 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

Bro.....it’s fine....don’t acknowledge that December is done....smoking cirrus must be your friend....smoking something.....anyway....sping is like 6 weeks away and here we are.....wasting precious December...what a joke....did I say my official rant is still coming?

Spring 6 weeks away?? WTF? 

Man what an ugly one-eyed warhog from hell of a pattern this month. 

Much better here ( N. CA ) this month with rain and cooler temps. Even SoCal's picking up some good rains this month. 

Dec. looking nothing like November in the Pacific...

Spin that EPO  'round and 'round

bringing my heights lower, even upside down ☺

10 hours ago, weathafella said:

Unrealistic.  Look at the calendar.

A little snowfall in mid November  is nothing out of the ordinary for your lattitude....and should be expected ☺

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Maybe an inch before the changeover for me?   Not worried about cashing in during mid 

  I know that you know you want something out of this -EPO pattern you've been in for tbe past month ( at my expense ). I think you'll get something pedestrian. The low almost closes off south of you. Good luck.