Tiktock

Euro seems to cut almost .5" qpf with that "tick" east in my hood.  

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Perfect run there on 18z for you're viewing area...  40/70 will be happy with this one too, ha.

Yes pls

19 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Dayum girl

Wow right on top of my head.  Lock it in.

3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

The reason it is unreasonable is the vorticity is developed through the convection the model develops offshore.  The vorticity looks to develop due to the convection, not due to the upper level energy within the shortwave.  Water vapor imagery is a great tool to use in this case.  The MO shortwave is phasing in with the Gulf shortwave, you can see this taking place as the shortwave begins to pivot in place.  I will show you an image of what I mean.

 

Image below shows the developing storm system, with the strong baroclinic leaf in the southeast, the dry slot developing to the west of the low is where our disturbance has phased together with the top of the storm now taking shape.

That looks really.....elongated.

I'm gassing up the leaf blower to clear out this impeding blizzard.

Surprised me....Little over 3" here.  Another chance to play on the tractor at 5:30 am.  I'll take what I can get...it felt like winter.

50 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Pic of tractor? That's a big blower. I'm using a 44"

Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
 

Here's me getting it hooked up in the fall.  Runs off the PTO of my little Kubota...its first year in service after fighting a 275# monster walk-behind for the last decade. :

Wow this morning woke up to about 5" of translucent slop to clean up.  Awesome!  I cranked the tractor RPM to 3750 and turned the 50" snowblower into a 23hp firehose of slush.  Fun, but not what I wanted to be doing at 5am.  I'd prefer the 60' plumes of powder...maybe next time.

At least this crap isnt going to freeze solid, right?  RIGHT? 

Light snow mixed with pingers....

4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

I'll be up at 5 to jump on tractor. Gotta get the good stuff off driveway before the ball bearing sand builds up

Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk
 

You clear before the ball bearings?  I find its easier to clear with them on top of the snow.....

Some pinging on the windows now.  Think I'm going to clear out in the morning vs tonight to avoid having 1-2" of sleet to clear by itself.

Still snowing pretty nice here in Plaistow.  Maybe 3-4" so far.  Light fluffy stuff.  Took my 2 year old out to walk around.  Snow up to his tiny boots seemed deep to him.  Win.

As typical, I'm on the line here just north of 495 at the NH border north of Haverhill.  HRRR has me sitting pretty and excited in the 6-8" range.  NAM shows dismal 3-4"....per every storm this year.

I would be ecstatic with 6"....any less and I just hope its enough and solid enough to effectively snowblow and not just a ridiculous ugly mess.

Hopping on the roads to head home from the Peabody area around 2pm to beat the snow onset/traffic.

Some doom and gloom feelings still but I'm liking my spot just over the NH border in the NE.  I will be ecstatic with anything near 6"....hedging my expectations more towards 4" of mixed sleet and crap.  My main desire if there's sleet/slush is that there's at least enough to throw with the blower effectively. 

The leaves help fertilize my spring dandelion crop.

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm 2 mi from the NH border, at the same latitude as KASH, and its nowhere nesr normal.

Agreed.  I basically consider us in northern MA.  I'm technically "south" of some parts of MA in Plaistow, NH.

It has become clear how this winter will go for me.  From Dec through mid March we'll get no huge storms...clearly caused by my acquiring a Kubota with front snowblower and thus preventing all major events requiring such a machine from occurring.  I've chalked this up to my wife working with nature to say "see you didnt need that tractor anyways!"

On or around March 15th everything will change because my wife has a scheduled C-section planned for the 20th.  As my winter lust for snow is replaced by paranoia about roads and conditions whenever we have to get to the hospital, I KNOW the biggest hum-dinger of a storm will come barreling our way and I wont have the time or mental power to track or enjoy it.

Thats how it works.

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...agree with all of this.

I'm busy today, anyway...so probably wouldn't even enjoy it if I got hit.

What time out here, like 5?

Yes curious about threat of major squalls near the MA/NH border...Haverhill area.  I'll be commuting home with my baby in the back seat and want to avoid any serious dangerous roads.  What time might these set in so I can get home in front and avoid them?

Couple inches of tiny glass beads on top of dense sand-like snow.  Frigid cold.

Keeps coming...how many more hours of this stuff?  Tuck right onto my head from pics above...

First use of the PTO-driven snowblower.  Beastly!

Just now, mostman said:

I cleaned the 6 up. I rather go back out and move two inches of slush than go out once and try to move 7 inches of cement. 

I have a 50" snowblower on a tractor so I almost have the opposite problem.  Moving 2" of slush off 400' of driveway is my nightmare.

Steady weird waterfall-like stream of perfectly round frozen rainballs coming off the roof now...

What are others doing about cleanup?  Deciding if i should blow now or wait for it all to fall on top of the snow and clear it later...worried it may be impossible to clear the stuff that falls from here on out on its own.....

Im in the teens here in plaistow, pouring frozen rain/sleet/pellets....probably 5-6" on the ground

Anyone tracking where the worst icing is looking to be?  Is the target area migrating?

New BOX map:

Setting expectations low based on overnight/morning trends.  Am I wrong thinking 6" just over the border north of Haverhill is realistic?