NaoPos

26 minutes ago, jacindc said:

 

given the limited info, I looked up transmission towers near the eastern Jefferson parish bank and downtown, and found this area. I’m guessing one of these big boys came down In this area. 

Jocco guy still outside the innermost core. It’s close by, but probably 5-10 miles south. Doubt he’s seeing anything over 100mph at this point. (Maybe close). But not 150… you’d have that whiteout - misty look to the wind blowing if he did. 

5 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

This jokko williams clown is full of garbage. He does NOT have 156 MPH sustained winds and gusts to 200.

Yea… lol. Was just thinking that. 

1 minute ago, jojo762 said:

Yeah it was my bad, I read their coordinates wrong and assumed they had passed through the NE quad -- it was in fact the SE quad.

Disappointed they didn’t head for the NE quad first.. 

1 minute ago, jojo762 said:

Dropsonde and FL data would make it reasonable to nudge this up to 135kt. A little surprised the 8am advisory didn’t do that actually.

Believe same thing happens with Micheal prior to landfall. 

Looks like dropsonde was only 950mb with 7knots?

2 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

wow.

133kt FL, 110kt SFMR...

943.6mb extrap.

Is that like 7-10 mb deeper in an hour?

1 minute ago, jojo762 said:

wow.

133kt FL, 110kt SFMR...

943.6mb extrap.

wow…

1 minute ago, STxVortex said:

It flew pretty close over me a few minutes ago.

That’s AF303 you’re seeing 

AF302 is still enroute 

Looks like 116 knot  FL winds .. not sure if fully sampled. It’s close in Tidbits site 

1 minute ago, jojo762 said:

Cat 4 on this NE-SW pass or nah?

I’ll guess 120 for S&G’s.. but maybe 115 could be realistic (knots) 

5 minutes ago, gopack42 said:

Can someone please explain how this happens, and what it is?  It does not look natural at all.  Something similar happened with Henri as well off the coast of NC/VA area that was pointed out as well.  It is very strange to say the least (to my undereducated mind as a met noob).  Thanks!

(mods, sorry if this is not an acceptable post in storm mode...please forgive my ignorance on posting rules as I typically only lurk to read interesting information)

Frictional convergence/orographical lift off the mountains. Wasn’t exactly invoked by the eye producing its own hot tower via oceanic content.  Rather lift off the mountain range , probably just really good timing. 

Adjacent hot towers going up on each side of the center.. I’d say she’s getting ready to go to town. 

7 minutes ago, jojo762 said:

Per recon the southwest side of Ida is exceedingly weak right now -- barely T.S. strength basing off of combo of FL and SFMR winds, which admittedly is not particularly surprising given current sat presentation in that quadrant + that quad had to deal with the higher terrain in Cuba... Extrap pressure down to ~990mb. Should get data from stronger northeast side soon.

Looks like a decent WNW** shift if the center on that last past compared to the 1st? 

Remember the other day when we said “well at least the core of the winds will be small and centered around the eye??”.. good times. 

Henri’s LLC looking naked here the last few frames? 
 

edit, can’t post gif, file too large 

Surprised that call Nw Of ATLA ISNT warned? By Kingston 

Ooof, was looking at centreville and Brent.. looks like a lumber storage yard before a trailer park across the street...

edit, can’t post image above 1.95mb?

55 minutes ago, NaoPos said:

Seems like positive trends to limit the ceiling on this event ....

 

 

Btw, my post was never meant to insinuate “bust”. There was a observation made that was shared in a manner which would be a possible “ positive” In limiting this threat. 

Seems like positive trends to limit the ceiling on this event ....

Inbound... over 200knots G2G??

3 minutes ago, SmokeEater said:

Debris to 23,000 feet now, met on WDAM is freaking.

Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk
 

2 minutes ago, irishbri74 said:

Big debris ball sig on that estill cell. Wasn’t even warned when it hit.. just awful 

Disregard. My iPad isn’t loading TOR warnings for some reason on RadarScope