Turner Team

Even if the Euro is correct on track of low and upper level features wouldn't there be a more expansive precipitation field to the NW than is currently shown? Seems like that happens alot in overrunning situations.

Anyone have the sleet maps from the 12Z models?

Looks on radar like there is now a dominant center SSW of Vieques. There is some banding that's forming over Puerto Rico that is starting to wrap around the new COC. There is also alot of lightning just south of the center.

To me it looks like the center could be reforming SW of St Croix. I think the swirl on radar is just a mesolow but it looks like it could be rotating around another COC. 

I think its so funny that all of a sudden everybody is giving up on winter when we are only halfway through winter..

Are the models backing off of the snowfall because the wave that's developing on the front is delaying the CAA?

Ended up with about 15 inches here in Roanoke. Besides the blip on the models Thurs night/Friday this has to be one of the best modeled storms for this area Ive ever seen..

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Good thing is I am closer to that way. Im off exit 137 on 81 if you are familiar.

Yeah you're definitely in a good spot too. I'm in Cave Spring right behind Cave Spring Middle. Seems like we always do better than other parts on the valley in this type of setup. 

6 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

We are effed up this way. Dry air for the win! Ugh

We are for now.... Looking good for later on tonight though. I think its going to be a situation where there is a very sharp cutoff somewhere just north of 81 though. There definitely should be a wide range of accumulations across the valley though. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Bent Mountain or Clearbrook areas get 5 or 6 inches out of this.