DAFF

I bet the frost level is at least 5 inches. More on asphalt and cement.  To think that the transition ti just rain will happen quickly at 34 degrees.  On elevated surfaces yes. But cement and shaded areas will be so icy for a long time. 

This trend ne with the passing low. Definitely a pattern that can't be ignored. Not a flake yesterday... round two following suit. 

On 4/14/2023 at 5:48 PM, OrdIowPitMsp said:

Hello fellow lightning strike survivor. The tent I was sleeping in got hit while camping in the Porcupine Mountains in June 2001. I have a scar where my watch was sitting on my wrist. 

Make that three... Do either of you remember the sounds of a tesla coil just before the strike? No lasting impacts health wise on me. I believe my rubber work boots saved me though from properly grounding out. I was securing  a machine on a trailer with chains while holding a metal bar when I got hit. 

Hurricanes are given a numeric classification. It's easy to understand the impact from a simple glance  ...

Winter weather could adapt the same type of impact rating.  

Just nice to have an winter event where mixing is kept at a minimum.  

 Definitely not a dual stage snowblower winter across the board. ... Locally I'd be happy having a system without the mixing and thermal profile issues of late.  5:1 snow ratios are so difficult to clean up. 

1 hour ago, Owensnow said:

So for us non informed weather weenies would I be right in saying this stays snow here?

 

 

12Z NAM for XHA (Harrow Ontario, Canada)

 

2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000 
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500 
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK 
FRI  7A 03-MAR  -0.1     0.7    1014      93      21             552     541    
FRI  1P 03-MAR   1.8     2.8    1005      83      94    0.00     550     546    
FRI  7P 03-MAR   0.7    -2.3     990      97      98    1.00     541     550    
SAT  1A 04-MAR   0.5    -4.5     992      95      69    0.48     536     543    
SAT  7A 04-MAR   0.9    -4.4    1008      94      64    0.01     542     536    
SAT  1P 04-MAR   2.3    -2.0    1014      92      26    0.00     548     537    
SAT  7P 04-MAR   0.7    -1.0    1018      98      86    0.00     548     534    
SUN  1A 05-MAR   0.6    -3.5    1020      98      86    0.00     545     529

 

Leamington for me, during the winter.  On the Shores of Erie just a few doors before the entrance of Point pelee. 

looking like another nowcasting event for Friday. I wonder if the GFS will pull out another win here in SE Michigan/ SW Ontario? 

Bright note> Lake Erie is 100% ice free this AM.

Trends... Locally the ice storm was super moist. Ice accretion at 32 was so impressive and we had so many trees damaged in ways I've never witnessed before.. 

A few degrees colder aloft and we certainly would of had a boat load of snow on the ground. 

I'm liking the look of this one. Now if the cold would only hold the course.  

Elevated surfaces and gravel are glazing over now. About a tenth of an inch accumulations of ice. 

Temps are 31.8 presently. I wonder if to my west, if there are any asphalt surfaces along tbe i94 corridor icing up ?? I'm on tbe Onario side if that line of ice . 

Full salt run complete in preparation. 

Lake Erie sunrise today, as the shoreline ice is thickening daily.  Definitely a stretch of boring cold weather. 

Locally... I do not recall a single thunder storm this spring. Best was a evening with heat lightning over lake Erie. The rains which do develop are weak sauce with no real battle zone frontal passage. 

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

We hardly had any plain rain the entire winter, just very small amounts here and there. February's deep snowpack did hit about 1.5" water content (entirely from snow) that was slowly released as it melted without aid of any precip. 

First time of this that I can recall. Full sun and temps of 40+ ate the entire snow pack. Even today in the shade you can find a few remnants of snow.. 

B++

If we could muster one more memorable snow in be very content. One thing which stood out to me. The pattern of spring came one day, with the return of spring and dare I say. Happy weather. The snow dissolved like cotton candy in ones mouth slowly and memorable. The song birds too arrived in this cue. 

Thinking 18:1 ratios a good bet here. 

15 minutes ago, RogueWaves said:

More concerned about the "death rate" of confirmed cases. That thankfully has flat-lined at 1.3% in the US, meaning the odds are still vastly in favor of survival. IF the DR was really taking off, then I'd be a lot more concerned. As is, these current totals, while still early, give us some hope. As others have posted, I'm at least as concerned about the net effects to the economy. I'm fortunate to be employed in the food service sector and have Work Authorization papers if I need to travel into my place of employ. But here in the Mitt, over 108K applied for UIA benefits last week, a 2100% increase from a typical week in the prior robust economy. Hoping this doesn't go on too long for the sake of those hit hardest. 

1.3% is correct with ample wide spread medical equipment. Flood the system, to the point 1 in 20 can be properly provided medical services. These early numbers are not sustainable.

The economy is in self destruct mode now...

11 hours ago, Chambana said:

Appreciate everyone kind words during this hard time, especially during our line of work. Not one to fish for sympathy, but after being treated like crap throughout the past week, it’s imperative to get some positive feedback. To anyone worried about any food shortage, I promise you We are working around the clock to make sure food is going straight from warehouse to your home. 

This is going to be a long marathon … I would suggest taking some time off to regenerate, for your immunity is decreasing daily. Not the best parameter, in this era of time.

8 hours ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

I have the sore throat, cough, chest tightness and pain and low grade fever. Went to the ER and they only did a influenza swab and sent me home with a "upper respiratory infection" diagnosis. Unless you're a severe case, they won't test you due to lack of tests.

Thinking the low grade fever was the send you home reasoning. From my understanding the virus hits like a freight train 103 fevers...

I would quarantine myself none the less. Get well... Hope tour not Old's...

Warm ground temps, marginal cold, equals spoiler of the clown maps.

Lollies are nice, gut says to multiply with the .375 reality factor. Given the hype to actual amounts measured last event.

Computer science is much like tuning an old car... You keep tinkering, thinking you can make it run better. Before long you loose the baseline and its runs like garbage.

Exciting times for you.. Wishing you all the best on your new adventure.

My money is on the death of "The Blob", leading to the flip of warmth this winter...

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

Why does it have to be so hard to get good trends inside 48 hrs this winter

That's known as the JB effect... Hype is money.

2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

wouldn't say i'm optimistic but i don't hate where we sit

Love the thrill of the hunt, watching the forecasts moving from computer guided inputs to reality. While rain and transitions has been the theme of the winter to date. It has been fun never the less. Let the meltdowns continue...

Never in the game this time round... RAINER from the get go...