PB GFI

2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

Thanks for the summary graphics.   That little patch of blue must be JB wishing upon a star his theory of combining the Pacific ACE with more traditional ideas is right.   LOL!      The first 7 days of Dec. will be +6, so a 42 degree surplus will have to be eliminated in the remaining 24 days to get back to normal, about -2.   Will come down to last days of month which into the New Year may be AN again.

The 1st 7 days of December aren't plus 6.

1 - 5  BN

6 - 10 N to AN

10- 15 BN

Nothing would be sustained until after day 10 

"if" blocking occurs. The models still think it develops .

That trough on the west coast backs up   towards the Aleutians after day 10.

If you get height rises from HB out to Greenland than you will suppress the ridge in the SE and the trough will get stuck there.

We don't need anything sustained , 5 day periods are better than what you saw the last 2 years.

You may do better then that .

If  blocking does develop then it's game on , you're just going to have to see if the EPS is right 

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Need to blow out my sprinklers asap, all the companies are booked and i dont have a compressor. This is bad news.

I didn't last year and blew out my back flow device.

You have time , 1 or 2 nights will not kill you , but a 300 shut off cost me 900 to repair.

5 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Gimme a break.  All forecasters have their biases.  If you can't see that JB always looks for the cold in the pattern and goes for the big storm, then I don't know what to tell you.

Dude its weird to pay for a forecast only to troll him with people who dont like him .

It screams that  you are in need of acceptance. 

Always fascinated when people pay to see a forecaster just to chide him . 

40 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Joe Cioffi's 2016-2017 Winter Outlook

http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2016/11/01/winter-2016-2017-new-jersey-forecast/

Hat tip to Isotherm .

NJ  state 2002 snow map 

It seems like infringement on one's personal rights but the process of accepting climate denial is analogous to similar arguments related to discrimination-based crime. Climate change is real and it does not care if your wealthy or locked into a third world country in Africa.

 

The apparent impacts on our lives will be relevant to your background and situation, thus is immoral to deny climate change or question negative impacts when there is empirical evidence.

You believe questioning temp correlation to CO2 is analogous to a hate crime ? 

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/12/07/climate-skeptics-in-paris-branded-as-criminals-wanted-posters-go-up-in-the-city/

11.62" 24hr rainfall total in Islip. Still coming down:

 

http://raws.wrh.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/roman/meso_base.cgi?stn=KISP&time=GMT

A foot of Rain . Just wow .

Buddy Randy in Brightwaters send me a VID of a raging river in front of his house and his basement totally flooded out .

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=NTP&overlay=11101111&loop=yes