Ace

Great job!

Allagash white is a top tier beer

Upton is very bullish. Although the focus of the long term remains Isaias, there is the potential for a round of significant severe weather on Sunday. A warm front is progged to be lifting thru the area on Sun. The 12Z NAM builds SBCAPE to over 3000 J/kg. Sufficient shear puts the BRN firmly in the supercell range. In addition, A high EHI embedded in this regime will add a tor threat. It is still too far out to have high confidence in the details and timing, but the data suggests the ingredients are potentially there for a svr wx outbreak. Future forecasts and SPC outlooks will refine this threat over the weekend. Pops were limited to 50 percent based on the uncertainty, although the NBM suggests categorical across the interior.

All eyes on Isaias, but Sunday could be a big time severe weather day. Probably more so for upstate NY/PA, but we'll see.

Going to be a disgusting day with high dew points (mid to upper 70's!) and high PWAT's. Instability values will be impressive and we may benefit from good timing (afternoon start time). Hopefully we don't get any morning activity to screw us over.