highways1

28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Know what'd be somethin' ? 

What if this thing ends up actually low end/Advisory ... and while licking prognostic wounds and dodging the usual assortment of subversive sour-grape motivated trolling practices... people are distracted from seeing the next wave becoming substantive.  That latter wave is quite coherently interfering badly with this thing and has been getting more so annoying in that regard.. Maybe as it comes in to the Br. Col coast, 'magine if it ends up coming in hugely powerful...?  

Shit..probably what happens is this wave ends up 4-6" ( not bad - won't complain...) but it'll sweep the testosterone seaward so the next one just wants to go to sleep... And we get one of those "Miller D"  - dry Nor'easters ... otherwise known as "coastal Dunce storm" ...  980 mb 70 naut Mi SE ACK with flurries all around it ...

You know, that ICON model does show another cyclogen over the ocean between Hatteras and Bermuda toward Friday because of this, which is a correction toward more of that...

See, jokes aside ..this fast progressive stuff is also highly mutable and you can get these morphologies seemingly out of nowhere - hence the lower deterministic value when one is suffering this pattern.  The whole week still could be a work in progress.. 

I'm not predicting anything just sayn'

Yeah I see this being a big issue in the last couple of cycles on some of the guidance. I thought the s/w looked better through about hr 60 or so on the Euro vs 0z (haven't seen 6z) but there's a bit more confluence to the NE as well as that system slamming into the PAC NW which wasn't there a couple of days ago. Combined, they lead to it getting stretched an then damped out pretty quick afterwards.

5"+ I-95, 12"+ N&W 

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It says 5”+, no?

I just moved to Southern California for work and while the weather is amazing here, it's still fun to track storms back east. Hopefully one of these late season storms work out.

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 I would definitely look into moving it up. The weatherwise it may be OK, the airlines will start the canceling stuff before the snow starts. 

Thanks, ironically I'm flying to MSP and they're getting the storm tonight and into tomorrow morning so I'm weighing that. I'd think they're pretty good at clearing snowing there but obviously safety is tops.

I have a flight at Logan at 2:20 PM tomorrow. Do we think that's still a go or should I try to move it up?

4 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

29.2/28 S+

13.4" since 10 am - total is up to 19.2" 

 

Nice, I was waiting for an update. Someone on NWS reported 13.4" but that seemed low, looks like we'll make 20" here. I suppose sitting under this band for 5 hours didn't hurt.

1 minute ago, J Paul Gordon said:

still nothing to sneeze at...figured it would be a SE SNE monster, just hoped to get in on one of those bands...

Yeah I'm on the edge here but we're doing pretty well. Brief lull earlier but going strong now.