Kilgore Trout

2 minutes ago, BretWheatley said:

Perfect day. Decorating the tree, baileys in my coffee. Anyone have any thoughts on this evening’s/tonight’s final round?

Great minds (I also have Baileys for my coffee).

5 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said:

I am in West Asheville. I have seen similar estimates around, so I don't think I am completely on an island.       I am hoping part 2 comes around. That would be awesome.

I am also in West Asheville (actually just on the north side of Patton) and I haven't measured but I am guessing I got around 10 inches. I did see pictures from downtown that looked closer to 5-6, but it was just one picture. Lost power around 3 am or so, but back on this morning. Glad we ended up with a nice storm. I imagine we would have a few more inches if we didn't have that run of rain/sleet.

Warm nose showing up in West Asheville. Raining currently.

1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said:

Looking at Intellicast radar that shows precip type, there is just a narrow stripe of rain right down the French Broad River Valley in Buncombe down to Mills River. Everywhere else is snow or a mix, per the radar anyway. We may be setting up for one of our biggest screw jobs ever and i have seen my share.

21 years here in Asheville, and yep, seen plenty of screw jobs. But reading the GSP forecast discussion and looking at the hourly forecast, they seem to account for this somewhat, and it won't be until tonight when the real action starts. Crossing my fingers.

NWS hourly forecast has Asheville above freezing until 8 pm, BUT it currently states we should be at 35 degrees right now and we are at 40. No bueno. But it's going to be a long storm so I will just be patient.

7 minutes ago, HurricaneTracker said:

So it’s elevation dependent at the moment. Looks like 3000’+ is where you need to be to see snow.  French Broad Valley just too warm at the moment. Low 40s!  Supports rain as HRRR indicated. Problem is, HRRR keeps AVL all rain until 9pm. Further cuts snow totals.  GSP afternoon update will be difficult to say the least. But really need to think about reducing totals...perhaps dramatically.

Rain has started in West Asheville, and currently at 40 degrees.

My friends have a house on the Black River near Ivanhoe, NC. It sits on a bluff around 20-25 feet above it. Floyd got to the top off the bluff. Matthew got to the base of their house. And now the river gauge is showing a foot higher than Matthew. Unbelievable that this area has seen historic flooding 3 times in the last 20 years.

1 hour ago, calculus1 said:

Latest storm total rainfall forecast from NWS GSP for their forecast area.  So, far, I have 0.00 inch. 

Where did you get this product? Been hunting around the GSP webpage for 15 minutes.

13 minutes ago, Jet Stream Rider said:

At least the stall will keep the full strength eyewall winds from getting as far inland as they would with a fast moving system. I'm looking at that as a good thing. Yes, the flooding from rainfall will be worse, but if that is spread out over several days many places will be able to handle it better. And less wind inland means less power outages which keeps the pumps running. I realize its not great, but maybe its something.

I have to respectfully disagree. Yes, it limits wind damage further inland, but a stall could produce astronomical flooding in eastern NC. I would much rather see a faster moving storm.

So are #'s 1, 2 & 5 

Trying to figure out what rule I broke by responding to a question about a weather map with actual weather discussion.  If it was an IMBY concern, the question still remains, but my response was deleted.  My suggestion would be to ease up on that trigger finger (I do understand it is hard to moderate at times like these).