Midnight Moon

8 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Franklinton?

While riding into Zebulon down 96

Flurries in Franklin Co, NC

4 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Paywalled. Can you give the general idea?

Transition period was too slow compared to modeling.

9 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

From Kat Campbell at WRAL: 

It's important that we start addressing these major changes and trends tonight but we aren't tanking snowfall to 0 yet for the following reasons:

-The European model has been doing far better with this system since day 1 and the ensembles didn't budge either

-This dramatic change happened on the mid-runs of models which do not feed as much data into them (no weather balloons) as the main runs...if this trend continues overnight on those then it more concerning

-We will still see impactful winter weather and accumulations on Thursday night (including the Triangle) and parts of our viewing area will still see a major winter storm Friday

-Models have a track record of shifting lows NW as we get closer to the events during the winter months

 

I did not know this.  So why so much angst?

FXUS62 KRAH 232337
AFDRAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
736 PM EDT Thu May 23 2019

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 320 PM Thursday...

Hints of a large scale pattern change begin to
be seen late Wed through Thu, when anomalous low heights over the
Western US appear to finally rise and give way to falling heights
over Canada that should help tamp down the Southeast ridge. This
will allow energy over the Rockies to take on a more southern track
eastward across the Carolinas with strengthening SW 850 mb flow
helping to draw more moisture into NC. 

19 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Per radar, it should be hammering in raleigh right now.  Anybody have a report or is everyone without power?

I'm in Zebulon and it was pouring and winds kicking about 20 mins ago.  We've never lost power though it did flicker multiple times in the last 24 hrs.  Seems to be settling down though.

2 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:

it's almost like there is a continent that is there

That's a good one.  LOL

2 minutes ago, salbers said:

Looks like improved enhancement around the eye here:

 

Movement does seem to the north on the satellite loop.

Look at that dry air coming in from the NW.  Can't be good for this cane.

1 minute ago, KPITSnow said:

I mean, it does look fairly good on visible, but when you look at IR images it is still pretty ragged looking. 

The IR images show the skeleton and this hurricane is not doing well.  Still ingesting dry air it looks like.  From the north.